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BundesligaSeason 2024

FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund

1 March 2025 at 14:30Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Match Summary

Borussia Dortmund defeated FC St. Pauli 2:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head Results· 7

FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund have met 7 times — FC St. Pauli won 1, Borussia Dortmund won 5, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Borussia Dortmund leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.71 per match (9 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (86%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Borussia Dortmund are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

Total goals
26 · 3.7/match
Both scored
5/7 · 71%
Over 2.5
6/7 · 86%

Recent Meetings

17/01/26Bundesliga
Match Details
23/08/25Bundesliga
Match Details
18/10/24Bundesliga
Match Details
18/01/22DFB-Pokal
Match Details
28/10/14DFB-Pokal
Match Details
19/02/11Bundesliga
Match Details
25/09/10Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, FC St. Pauli have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Borussia Dortmund show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Borussia Dortmund dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (22%) — the odds may underestimate Borussia Dortmund.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/09/0101/023.25/3.40/1.90
17 Jan 202625/261.33/5.25/10.00
Match Details
25/09/1010/113.67/3.36/2.02
23 Aug 202525/264.66/3.84/1.76
Match Details
1 Mar 202524/254.14/3.74/1.85
Match Details
18 Oct 202424/251.30/5.57/9.89
Match Details
19/02/1110/111.28/5.21/10.90
3 Mar 200201/021.25/4.50/10.00

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 24.2%Draw 26.7%Away 54.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.003.701.83
Max4.313.801.87
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Borussia Dortmund · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market22.4%25.9%51.7%
Public market23.2%25.0%51.9%

FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Borussia Dortmund
Result vs. Market: Borussia Dortmund (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FC St. PauliHalf-time:00Borussia Dortmund
7Shots14
1Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: FC St. Pauli

W 42D 48L 114
Over 2.553
Goals scored204

Away Record: Borussia Dortmund

W 580D 274L 268
Over 2.559
Goals scored2122

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026