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Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen

29 March 2025 at 14:30Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Match Summary

Werder Bremen defeated Holstein Kiel 3:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2024.

Rivalry since 2021

Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Head to Head Results· 3

Holstein Kiel and Werder Bremen have met 3 times — Holstein Kiel won 2, Werder Bremen won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Holstein Kiel leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 11 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.67 per match (6 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2022.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
11 · 3.7/match
Both scored
3/3 · 100%
Over 2.5
3/3 · 100%

Recent Meetings

09/11/24Bundesliga
Match Details
29/04/222. Bundesliga
Match Details
27/11/212. Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Holstein Kiel have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Werder Bremen show 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Werder Bremen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Werder Bremen.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Mar 202524/253.31/3.88/2.06
Match Details
9 Nov 202424/251.64/4.27/4.90
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.2%Draw 25.8%Away 48.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.203.852.05
Max3.423.902.08
Over 2.5: 61.7%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Werder Bremen · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.3%25.1%46.5%
Public market29.6%24.3%46.2%
Δ1.3%0.9%0.4%

Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Werder Bremen
Result vs. Market: Werder Bremen (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Holstein KielHalf-time:01Werder Bremen
11Shots14
0Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Holstein Kiel

W 6D 7L 21
Over 2.577
Goals scored49

Away Record: Werder Bremen

W 427D 265L 395
Over 2.560
Goals scored1744

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026