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FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

5 April 2025 at 14:30MEWA ARENA, Mainz

Match Summary

FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel drew 1:1. The match was played in Bundesliga 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head Results· 2

FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel have met 2 times — FSV Mainz 05 won 1, Holstein Kiel won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (3 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–3 in 2024.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
5 · 2.5/match
Both scored
0/2 · 0%
Over 2.5
1/2 · 50%

Recent Meetings

24/11/24Bundesliga
Match Details
21/12/11DFB-Pokal
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 03 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, FSV Mainz 05 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Holstein Kiel show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (67%) — the odds may underestimate Holstein Kiel.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 Apr 202524/251.44/4.75/7.03
Match Details
24 Nov 202424/253.05/3.46/2.31
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.4%Draw 21.0%Away 14.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.434.507.00
Max1.455.017.05
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:FSV Mainz 05 · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market67.2%19.2%13.6%
Public market65.4%21.1%13.5%
Δ1.8%1.9%

FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: FSV Mainz 05 (69%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FSV Mainz 05Half-time:01Holstein Kiel
13Shots10
3Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: FSV Mainz 05

W 224D 180L 275
Over 2.554
Goals scored901

Away Record: Holstein Kiel

W 6D 7L 21
Over 2.577
Goals scored49

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026