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VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05

31 August 2025 at 14:30Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Referee: Sören Storks

Match Summary

VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05 drew 1:1. The match was played in Bundesliga 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Head to Head Results· 31

VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05 have met 31 times — VfL Wolfsburg won 11, FSV Mainz 05 won 8, with 12 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. VfL Wolfsburg leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 31 meetings. A combined 86 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.77 per match (50 for the home side, 36 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2024.

Drawn
12
·
Total goals
86 · 2.8/match
Both scored
14/31 · 45%
Over 2.5
15/31 · 48%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26Bundesliga
Match Details
19/04/25Bundesliga
Match Details
08/12/24Bundesliga
Match Details
18/05/24Bundesliga
Match Details
13/01/24Bundesliga
Match Details
30/04/23Bundesliga
Match Details
05/11/22Bundesliga
Match Details
22/04/22Bundesliga
Match Details
04/12/21Bundesliga
Match Details
22/05/21Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, VfL Wolfsburg have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. FSV Mainz 05 show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate VfL Wolfsburg.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/262.30/3.50/3.00
Match Details
31 Aug 202525/262.04/3.64/3.52
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19 Apr 202524/252.02/3.66/3.60
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8 Dec 202424/252.13/3.35/3.47
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18 May 202423/243.19/3.58/2.19
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13 Jan 202423/242.18/3.46/3.26
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30 Apr 202322/232.27/3.46/3.12
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5 Nov 202222/232.02/3.64/3.61
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22 Apr 202221/222.32/3.35/3.17
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4 Dec 202121/222.51/3.31/2.90
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Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.0%Draw 27.5%Away 28.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.603.50
Max2.083.683.54
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:VfL Wolfsburg · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.5%26.3%27.3%
Public market47.0%26.1%26.9%

VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: VfL Wolfsburg (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VfL WolfsburgHalf-time:10FSV Mainz 05
11Shots17
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: VfL Wolfsburg

W 365D 252L 368
Over 2.557
Goals scored1475

Away Record: FSV Mainz 05

W 224D 180L 275
Over 2.554
Goals scored901

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026