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Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

4 October 2025 at 14:30Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Referee: Sascha Stegemann

Match Summary

Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig drew 1:1. The match was played in Bundesliga 2025.

Rivalry since 2016

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Head to Head Results· 21

Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig have met 21 times — Borussia Dortmund won 9, RB Leipzig won 9, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 72 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.43 per match (35 for the home side, 37 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2019.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
72 · 3.4/match
Both scored
14/21 · 67%
Over 2.5
14/21 · 67%

Recent Meetings

21/02/26Bundesliga
Match Details
15/03/25Bundesliga
Match Details
02/11/24Bundesliga
Match Details
27/04/24Bundesliga
Match Details
09/12/23Bundesliga
Match Details
05/04/23DFB-Pokal
Match Details
03/03/23Bundesliga
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10/09/22Bundesliga
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02/04/22Bundesliga
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06/11/21Bundesliga
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. RB Leipzig show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

RB Leipzig dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate RB Leipzig.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Feb 202625/262.15/3.80/3.10
Match Details
4 Oct 202525/261.70/4.58/4.22
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15 Mar 202524/252.42/3.63/2.82
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2 Nov 202424/252.23/3.73/3.05
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27 Apr 202423/241.67/4.37/4.50
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9 Dec 202323/242.53/3.82/2.52
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3 Mar 202322/232.23/3.57/3.14
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10 Sept 202222/232.35/3.85/2.79
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2 Apr 202221/222.46/3.67/2.70
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6 Nov 202121/221.96/3.77/3.70
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Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.8%Draw 21.8%Away 23.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.704.504.20
Max1.704.674.25
Over 2.5: 73.5%Under 2.5: 31.3%
Market favourite:Borussia Dortmund · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.7%20.6%22.7%
Public market56.1%21.2%22.7%

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Borussia Dortmund (59%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Borussia DortmundHalf-time:11RB Leipzig
15Shots13
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Borussia Dortmund

W 579D 274L 268
Over 2.559
Goals scored2120

Away Record: RB Leipzig

W 180D 82L 77
Over 2.562
Goals scored658

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026