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Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen

4 March 2026 at 19:30Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Referee: Sören Storks

Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen defeated Hamburger SV 1:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head Results· 17

Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen have met 17 times — Hamburger SV won 3, Bayer Leverkusen won 9, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Bayer Leverkusen leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (16 for the home side, 32 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bayer Leverkusen are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–3 in 2013.

Total goals
48 · 2.8/match
Both scored
9/17 · 53%
Over 2.5
9/17 · 53%

Recent Meetings

16/05/26Bundesliga
Match Details
17/02/18Bundesliga
Match Details
24/09/17Bundesliga
Match Details
03/02/17Bundesliga
Match Details
10/09/16Bundesliga
Match Details
13/03/16Bundesliga
Match Details
17/10/15Bundesliga
Match Details
04/04/15Bundesliga
Match Details
01/11/14Bundesliga
Match Details
04/04/14Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 53 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Hamburger SV have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Bayer Leverkusen show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Bayer Leverkusen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Hamburger SV.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 May 202625/261.25/6.75/9.50
Match Details
4 Mar 202625/263.50/3.60/2.05
Match Details
24/09/1717/181.39/4.90/8.18
17/02/1817/183.84/3.52/2.00
9 Oct 201616/171.48/4.45/7.01
2 Mar 201716/173.20/3.40/2.32
17/10/1515/164.58/3.58/1.84
13/03/1615/161.65/3.99/5.44
11 Jan 201414/153.54/3.58/2.05
4 Apr 201514/151.36/4.91/9.15

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.6%Draw 27.8%Away 48.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.503.602.05
Max3.503.602.05
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Bayer Leverkusen · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Bayer Leverkusen
Result vs. Market: Bayer Leverkusen (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Hamburger SVHalf-time:00Bayer Leverkusen
10Shots14
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Hamburger SV

W 315D 241L 328
Over 2.554
Goals scored1183

Away Record: Bayer Leverkusen

W 547D 279L 296
Over 2.560
Goals scored2063

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026