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Millwall vs Birmingham

18 April 2023 at 20:00The Den, London
01
Referee: D. Whitestone

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Millwall 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Millwall vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 23

Millwall and Birmingham have met 23 times — Millwall won 8, Birmingham won 7, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Millwall leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 60 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.61 per match (26 for the home side, 34 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (35%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2012.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
60 · 2.6/match
Both scored
8/23 · 35%
Over 2.5
10/23 · 43%

Recent Meetings

25/02/26Championship
Match Details
04/11/25Championship
Match Details
09/03/24Championship
Match Details
02/09/23Championship
Match Details
02/11/22Championship
Match Details
23/04/22Championship
Match Details
04/12/21Championship
Match Details
17/02/21Championship
Match Details
28/11/20Championship
Match Details
26/02/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Feb 202625/262.40/3.30/2.82
Match Details
4 Nov 202525/261.81/3.40/4.20
Match Details
9 Mar 202423/242.21/3.21/3.46
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2 Sept 202323/242.39/3.10/3.09
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18 Apr 202322/231.73/3.51/5.33
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2 Nov 202222/232.54/3.14/2.96
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23 Apr 202221/223.35/3.31/2.22
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4 Dec 202121/222.16/3.18/3.64
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17 Feb 202120/212.15/3.03/3.99
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28 Nov 202020/212.96/3.02/2.65
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.9%Draw 28.5%Away 18.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.703.305.25
Max1.753.635.50
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Millwall · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.5%26.8%17.7%
Public market55.7%26.3%18.0%

Millwall vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Millwall (58%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:01Birmingham
21Shots7
7Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026