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ChampionshipSeason 2023

Plymouth vs Swansea

7 October 2023 at 15:00Home Park, Plymouth
13
Referee: L. Smith

Match Summary

Swansea defeated Plymouth 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2021

Plymouth vs Swansea Head to Head Results· 6

Plymouth and Swansea have met 6 times — Plymouth won 1, Swansea won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Swansea leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.83 per match (5 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2021.

Drawn
1
·
4
wins
Total goals
17 · 2.8/match
Both scored
4/6 · 67%
Over 2.5
4/6 · 67%

Recent Meetings

09/04/25Championship
Match Details
10/12/24Championship
Match Details
03/02/24Championship
Match Details
12/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
24/08/21League Cup
Match Details
20/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Plymouth have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Swansea show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Plymouth

WWDWDW

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Swansea dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
8 meetings
6
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Swansea.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Apr 202524/251.60/3.92/5.23
Match Details
10 Dec 202424/254.54/3.89/1.73
Match Details
3 Feb 202423/242.02/3.69/3.46
Match Details
7 Oct 202323/242.42/3.48/2.84
Match Details
23/08/0808/092.37/3.21/2.79
16/02/1009/103.47/3.20/2.14
3 Oct 200908/091.64/3.57/5.62
12 Aug 200909/101.60/3.66/5.96

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.3%Draw 28.7%Away 35.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.402.75
Max2.463.652.89
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.6%26.7%33.7%
Public market39.4%27.8%32.8%
Δ0.2%1.1%0.9%

Plymouth vs Swansea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swansea
Result vs. Market: Plymouth (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PlymouthHalf-time:10Swansea
16Shots14
7Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Plymouth

W 109D 102L 157
Over 2.547
Goals scored411

Away Record: Swansea

W 200D 141L 165
Over 2.546
Goals scored648

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026