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Southampton vs Swansea

26 December 2023 at 15:00St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
50
Referee: K. Stroud

Match Summary

Southampton defeated Swansea 5:0. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2012

Southampton vs Swansea Head to Head Results· 17

Southampton and Swansea have met 17 times — Southampton won 11, Swansea won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Southampton leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.82 per match (23 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (35%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (35%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Southampton are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2024.

Drawn
4
·
2
wins
Total goals
31 · 1.8/match
Both scored
6/17 · 35%
Over 2.5
6/17 · 35%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26Championship
Match Details
18/10/25Championship
Match Details
12/01/25FA Cup
Match Details
20/01/24Championship
Match Details
31/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
08/05/18Premier League
Match Details
12/08/17Premier League
Match Details
31/01/17Premier League
Match Details
18/09/16Premier League
Match Details
13/02/16Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Southampton have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Swansea show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Swansea.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31/01/0908/093.07/3.29/2.19
18 Apr 202625/263.70/4.33/1.76
Match Details
18 Oct 202525/261.92/3.55/3.83
Match Details
25/10/0808/091.74/3.43/4.45
20 Jan 202423/244.87/4.01/1.67
Match Details
26 Dec 202323/241.44/4.68/6.90
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.4%Draw 21.4%Away 14.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.404.206.50
Max1.485.007.50
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:Southampton · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market65.5%20.1%14.4%
Public market68.2%19.1%12.7%
Δ2.7%1.0%1.7%

Southampton vs Swansea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Southampton
Result vs. Market: Southampton (69%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SouthamptonHalf-time:10Swansea
11Shots4
9Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Southampton

W 131D 94L 97
Over 2.552
Goals scored482

Away Record: Swansea

W 200D 141L 165
Over 2.546
Goals scored648

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026