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Charlton vs Watford

9 August 2025 at 12:30The Valley, London
10
Referee: Stephen Martin

Match Summary

Charlton defeated Watford 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by H. Knibbs 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Charlton had 42% possession while Watford held 58%. Charlton had 12 shots (5 on target) compared to 10 (1 on target) for Watford. Expected goals: Charlton 1.16 — Watford 0.72. Charlton made 4 substitutions, Watford made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Charlton and Watford — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
63′
K. BaahN. Irankunda
C. KelmanM. Leaburn
71′
72′
M. DoumbiaT. Ince
72′
M. SissokoJ. Grieves
73′
I. LouzaE. Kayembe
T. CampbellM. Gillesphey
80′
S. CareyT. Olaofe
86′
87′
J. AbankwahM. Alleyne
Full Time

Match Statistics

Charlton had 42% possession against Watford's 58%. Charlton registered 12 shots (5 on target) while Watford managed 10 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 6–16.

Shots on Goal
5
1
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Total Shots
12
10
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots inside the Box
9
4
Shots outside the Box
3
6
Fouls
6
16
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
0
Ball Possession
42%
58%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
4
Total Passes
295
411
Accurate Passes
224
329
Pass Accuracy
76%
80%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
0.72
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.09
-0.09

Rivalry since 2012

Charlton vs Watford Head to Head Results· 7

Charlton and Watford have met 7 times — Charlton won 3, Watford won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Charlton leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.43 per match (11 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2013.

Drawn
2
·
2
wins
Total goals
24 · 3.4/match
Both scored
5/7 · 71%
Over 2.5
4/7 · 57%

Recent Meetings

06/04/26Championship
Match Details
17/01/15Championship
Match Details
13/09/14Championship
Match Details
29/04/14Championship
Match Details
14/09/13Championship
Match Details
01/01/13Championship
Match Details
02/10/12Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Charlton have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Charlton

LWLDLD

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Charlton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Apr 202625/261.81/3.30/4.50
Match Details
9 Aug 202525/262.50/3.22/2.92
Match Details
13/09/1414/152.90/3.36/2.51
17/01/1514/151.67/3.87/5.67
14/09/1313/141.67/3.89/5.71
29/04/1413/142.35/3.45/3.13
16/08/0808/092.27/3.23/2.94
3 Jul 200908/092.53/3.20/2.76
10 Feb 201212/132.27/3.34/3.25
1 Jan 201312/131.78/3.61/4.68

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.1%Draw 31.0%Away 34.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.152.88
Max2.543.302.95
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.5%30.2%32.3%
Public market38.6%28.6%32.8%
Δ1.1%1.6%0.5%

Charlton vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Charlton
Result vs. Market: Charlton (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CharltonHalf-time:00Watford
12Shots10
5Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Charlton

W 103D 111L 154
Over 2.548
Goals scored409

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026