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Birmingham vs Oxford United

23 August 2025 at 15:00St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Oxford United 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by Paik Seung-Ho 40′. Birmingham had 66% possession while Oxford United held 34%. Birmingham had 16 shots (1 on target) compared to 6 (1 on target) for Oxford United. Expected goals: Birmingham 1.65 — Oxford United 0.38. Birmingham made 3 substitutions, Oxford United made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Birmingham and Oxford United — 1 goal and 0 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Paik Seung-Ho

assist: E. Laird

40′
Half Time
K. FuruhashiT. Doyle
61′
68′
T. GoodrhamP. Placheta
68′
W. LankshearM. Harris
76′
76′
H. ter AvestM. Phillips
D. GrayK. Anderson
85′
86′
S. DembeleS. Mills
J. StansfieldL. Dykes
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Birmingham had 66% possession against Oxford United's 34%. Birmingham registered 16 shots (1 on target) while Oxford United managed 6 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 4–1. Fouls committed: 11–17.

Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots Off Goal
11
4
Total Shots
16
6
Blocked Shots
4
1
Shots inside the Box
10
2
Shots outside the Box
6
4
Fouls
11
17
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
5
Ball Possession
66%
34%
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
0
Total Passes
579
299
Accurate Passes
508
214
Pass Accuracy
88%
72%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
0.38
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.53
-0.53

Rivalry since 2026

Birmingham vs Oxford United Head to Head Results· 1

Birmingham and Oxford United have met 1 times — Birmingham won 1, Oxford United won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 1 meeting. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 0 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–2 in 2026.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
2 · 2.0/match
Both scored
0/1 · 0%
Over 2.5
0/1 · 0%

Recent Meetings

31/01/26Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 02 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Oxford United show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Birmingham dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (66%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31 Jan 202625/263.40/3.40/2.05
Match Details
23 Aug 202525/261.44/4.44/6.92
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.2%Draw 22.5%Away 14.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.444.386.50
Max1.454.507.33
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market65.6%21.6%12.9%
Public market64.7%20.9%14.4%
Δ0.9%0.7%1.6%

Birmingham vs Oxford United — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (69%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:10Oxford United
16Shots6
1Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Away Record: Oxford United

W 24D 28L 40
Over 2.541
Goals scored94

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026