Menu

Birmingham vs Swansea

20 September 2025 at 12:30St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
10
Referee: John Busby

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Swansea 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by L. Dykes 90′. 9 yellow cards were shown. Birmingham had 50% possession while Swansea held 50%. Birmingham had 23 shots (7 on target) compared to 9 (2 on target) for Swansea. Expected goals: Birmingham 2.41 — Swansea 1.43. Birmingham made 6 substitutions, Swansea made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Birmingham and Swansea — 1 goal and 9 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
67′
L. KoumasP. Roberts
67′
M. DuckschK. Furuhashi
67′
74′
Z. InoussaJ. Eom
74′
Z. VipotnikA. Idah
A. CochraneE. Cashin
80′
Paik Seung-HoT. Doyle
86′
89′
E. GalbraithM. Yalcouye
90+7′
RonaldM. Widell
90+7′
G. FrancoL. Cullen
L. Dykes

assist: P. Roberts

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Birmingham had 50% possession against Swansea's 50%. Birmingham registered 23 shots (7 on target) while Swansea managed 9 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–2. Fouls committed: 13–11.

Shots on Goal
7
2
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Total Shots
23
9
Blocked Shots
8
2
Shots inside the Box
12
6
Shots outside the Box
11
3
Fouls
13
11
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
3
3
Ball Possession
50%
50%
Yellow Cards
5
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
5
Total Passes
379
387
Accurate Passes
276
277
Pass Accuracy
73%
72%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
1.43
Goals Prevented (xGP)
1.02
1.02

Rivalry since 2013

Birmingham vs Swansea Head to Head Results· 15

Birmingham and Swansea have met 15 times — Birmingham won 4, Swansea won 3, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 43 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.87 per match (21 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Birmingham are currently unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2023.

Drawn
8
·
3
wins
Total goals
43 · 2.9/match
Both scored
10/15 · 67%
Over 2.5
9/15 · 60%

Recent Meetings

17/01/26Championship
Match Details
13/01/24Championship
Match Details
05/08/23Championship
Match Details
04/02/23Championship
Match Details
08/11/22Championship
Match Details
19/03/22Championship
Match Details
23/10/21Championship
Match Details
02/04/21Championship
Match Details
19/09/20Championship
Match Details
08/07/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Swansea show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
6
10 meetings
0
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/262.65/3.20/2.57
Match Details
20 Sept 202525/261.85/3.30/4.47
Match Details
13 Jan 202423/242.24/3.51/3.10
Match Details
5 Aug 202323/241.83/3.55/4.19
Match Details
4 Feb 202322/231.84/3.50/4.50
Match Details
8 Nov 202222/232.67/3.22/2.75
Match Details
19 Mar 202221/221.90/3.54/4.13
Match Details
23 Oct 202121/222.50/3.03/3.14
Match Details
2 Apr 202120/213.18/3.07/2.47
Match Details
19 Sept 202020/212.06/3.17/4.01
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.9%Draw 30.3%Away 22.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.813.304.45
Max1.903.314.50
Over 2.5: 42.0%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.0%28.7%21.3%
Public market51.3%28.1%20.6%
Δ1.3%0.6%0.7%

Birmingham vs Swansea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:00Swansea
23Shots9
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Away Record: Swansea

W 200D 141L 165
Over 2.546
Goals scored648

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026