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Watford vs Hull City

27 September 2025 at 15:00Vicarage Road, Watford
21
Referee: Oliver Langford

Match Summary

Watford defeated Hull City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by O. McBurnie 25′, I. Louza 60′, V. Semedo 79′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Watford had 55% possession while Hull City held 45%. Watford had 21 shots (8 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Hull City. Expected goals: Watford 2.82 — Hull City 0.86. Watford made 5 substitutions, Hull City made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Watford and Hull City — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Vivaldo23′
Half Time
I. Louza

assist: V. Semedo

60′
J. NgakiaC. Wiley
62′
73′
73′
J. GelhardtR. Slater
E. KayembeM. Sissoko
75′
79′
N. MendyH. Kyprianou
83′
V. SemedoL. Kjerrumgaard
83′
N. IrankundaK. Baah
83′
84′
C. DramehB. Akintola
84′
J. LundstramK. Palmer
88′
K. JosephE. Destan
Full Time

Match Statistics

Watford had 55% possession against Hull City's 45%. Watford registered 21 shots (8 on target) while Hull City managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–6. Fouls committed: 7–16.

Shots on Goal
8
4
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Total Shots
21
11
Blocked Shots
5
1
Shots inside the Box
17
7
Shots outside the Box
4
4
Fouls
7
16
Corner Kicks
6
6
Offsides
2
3
Ball Possession
55%
45%
Yellow Cards
1
5
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
5
Total Passes
350
285
Accurate Passes
280
196
Pass Accuracy
80%
69%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
0.86
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.34
0.34

Rivalry since 2011

Watford vs Hull City Head to Head Results· 13

Watford and Hull City have met 13 times — Watford won 4, Hull City won 4, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.62 per match (10 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (23%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Watford are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2011.

4
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
21 · 1.6/match
Both scored
5/13 · 38%
Over 2.5
3/13 · 23%

Recent Meetings

03/02/26Championship
Match Details
08/04/25Championship
Match Details
11/12/24Championship
Match Details
20/04/24Championship
Match Details
02/12/23Championship
Match Details
22/04/23Championship
Match Details
11/12/22Championship
Match Details
22/04/17Premier League
Match Details
29/10/16Premier League
Match Details
02/04/13Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Watford have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Hull City show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Hull City

WWDWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.4

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
4
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Feb 202625/262.15/3.50/3.10
Match Details
27 Sept 202525/262.25/3.40/3.10
Match Details
8 Apr 202524/252.43/3.27/3.05
Match Details
11 Dec 202424/252.29/3.36/3.06
Match Details
20 Apr 202423/242.87/3.47/2.43
Match Details
2 Dec 202323/242.17/3.39/3.33
Match Details
22 Apr 202322/232.56/3.28/2.82
Match Details
11 Dec 202222/231.68/3.68/5.47
Match Details
12 Aug 201212/132.33/3.41/3.00
4 Feb 201312/132.17/3.44/3.49

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.3%Draw 29.4%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.403.10
Max2.313.403.10
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.2%28.0%30.7%
Public market42.4%27.5%30.1%
Δ1.2%0.6%0.6%

Watford vs Hull City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Watford (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:01Hull City
21Shots11
8Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Away Record: Hull City

W 249D 181L 260
Over 2.545
Goals scored861

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026