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Middlesbrough vs Stoke City

30 September 2025 at 19:45Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Referee: David Webb

Match Summary

Middlesbrough and Stoke City drew 0:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. 2 yellow cards were shown. Middlesbrough had 55% possession while Stoke City held 45%. Middlesbrough had 12 shots (4 on target) compared to 18 (5 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: Middlesbrough 0.61 — Stoke City 1.20. Middlesbrough made 5 substitutions, Stoke City made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Middlesbrough and Stoke City — 0 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
B. PearsonT. Rigo
46′
L. CisseM. Manhoef
D. StrelecM. K. Sene
65′
A. MorrisS. Hansen
65′
74′
R. BozenikD. Mubama
77′
B. LawalJ. Tchamadeu
S. NypanD. Fry
82′
T. ConwayA. Kante
82′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Middlesbrough had 55% possession against Stoke City's 45%. Middlesbrough registered 12 shots (4 on target) while Stoke City managed 18 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–8. Fouls committed: 8–5.

Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
5
6
Total Shots
12
18
Blocked Shots
3
7
Shots inside the Box
7
10
Shots outside the Box
5
8
Fouls
8
5
Corner Kicks
5
8
Offsides
0
3
Ball Possession
55%
45%
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
4
Total Passes
489
384
Accurate Passes
422
324
Pass Accuracy
86%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
1.20
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.50
0.50

Rivalry since 2016

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 18

Middlesbrough and Stoke City have met 18 times — Middlesbrough won 8, Stoke City won 5, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 42 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (22 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (39%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Middlesbrough are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–5 in 2024.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
42 · 2.3/match
Both scored
7/18 · 39%
Over 2.5
7/18 · 39%

Recent Meetings

21/01/26Championship
Match Details
25/02/25Championship
Match Details
28/09/24Championship
Match Details
27/08/24League Cup
Match Details
02/03/24Championship
Match Details
28/10/23Championship
Match Details
14/03/23Championship
Match Details
17/08/22Championship
Match Details
30/04/22Championship
Match Details
11/12/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 05 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Stoke City show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Jan 202625/263.00/3.30/2.30
Match Details
30 Sept 202525/261.85/3.50/4.24
Match Details
25 Feb 202524/252.99/3.41/2.35
Match Details
28 Sept 202424/251.62/4.04/5.12
Match Details
2 Mar 202423/242.72/3.36/2.60
Match Details
28 Oct 202323/241.76/3.87/4.46
Match Details
14 Mar 202322/231.71/3.80/5.00
Match Details
17 Aug 202222/232.67/3.21/2.77
Match Details
30 Apr 202221/221.83/3.68/4.25
Match Details
11 Dec 202121/222.42/3.12/3.17
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.9%Draw 28.6%Away 23.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.763.403.97
Max1.953.604.50
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.2%26.6%24.2%
Public market52.4%27.1%20.5%
Δ3.2%0.5%3.7%

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (54%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:00Stoke City
12Shots18
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026