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Portsmouth vs Watford

1 October 2025 at 19:45Fratton Park, Portsmouth
22
Referee: Ben Toner

Match Summary

Portsmouth and Watford drew 2:2. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by Yang Min-Hyuk 5′, I. Louza 46′, R. Vata 56′, A. Segecic 79′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Portsmouth had 63% possession while Watford held 37%. Portsmouth had 15 shots (5 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Watford. Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.12 — Watford 1.88. Portsmouth made 3 substitutions, Watford made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Portsmouth and Watford — 4 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
C. WileyJ. Ngakia
46′
H. KyprianouN. Mendy
46′
56′
Yang Min-HyukH. Blair
63′
70′
J. AbankwahF. Mendy
J. WilliamsT. Devlin
72′
85′
M. SissokoK. Baah
Full Time

Match Statistics

Portsmouth had 63% possession against Watford's 37%. Portsmouth registered 15 shots (5 on target) while Watford managed 12 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 9–15.

Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Total Shots
15
12
Blocked Shots
2
0
Shots inside the Box
10
11
Shots outside the Box
5
1
Fouls
9
15
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
3
0
Ball Possession
63%
37%
Yellow Cards
2
5
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
3
Total Passes
456
271
Accurate Passes
381
201
Pass Accuracy
84%
74%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
1.88
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.84
-0.84

Rivalry since 2011

Portsmouth vs Watford Head to Head Results· 5

Portsmouth and Watford have met 5 times — Portsmouth won 2, Watford won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (5 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (20%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2024.

Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
1/5 · 20%

Recent Meetings

21/01/26Championship
Match Details
21/04/25Championship
Match Details
26/12/24Championship
Match Details
02/01/12Championship
Match Details
19/11/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Portsmouth have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
8 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Portsmouth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Jan 202625/261.68/3.75/4.75
Match Details
1 Oct 202525/262.17/3.35/3.29
Match Details
21 Apr 202524/252.00/3.58/3.63
Match Details
26 Dec 202424/251.82/3.64/4.21
Match Details
19/11/1111/122.38/3.26/2.93
16/10/1010/112.25/3.20/3.22
1 Feb 201211/122.04/3.25/3.45
1 Jan 201110/111.97/3.43/3.78

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.2%Draw 29.8%Away 30.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.313.25
Max2.233.403.33
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Portsmouth · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.7%28.7%28.6%
Public market44.2%27.3%28.5%
Δ1.5%1.5%

Portsmouth vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Portsmouth (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PortsmouthHalf-time:10Watford
15Shots12
5Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Portsmouth

W 56D 49L 79
Over 2.545
Goals scored210

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026