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Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough

4 October 2025 at 15:00Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Referee: Anthony Backhouse

Match Summary

Portsmouth defeated Middlesbrough 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by Yang Min-Hyuk 23′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Portsmouth had 38% possession while Middlesbrough held 62%. Portsmouth had 8 shots (1 on target) compared to 12 (1 on target) for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Portsmouth 0.48 — Middlesbrough 1.00. Portsmouth made 4 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
J. SwiftM. Kosznovszky
58′
59′
S. HansenD. Strelec
J. WilliamsT. Devlin
64′
C. ChaplinA. Segecic
64′
69′
L. AylingA. Browne
70′
M. K. SeneS. Nypan
Yang Min-HyukH. Blair
78′
84′
M. TargettD. Burgzorg
84′
H. HackneyM. Whittaker
Full Time

Match Statistics

Portsmouth had 38% possession against Middlesbrough's 62%. Portsmouth registered 8 shots (1 on target) while Middlesbrough managed 12 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 2–8. Fouls committed: 13–6.

Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Total Shots
8
12
Blocked Shots
5
6
Shots inside the Box
4
7
Shots outside the Box
4
5
Fouls
13
6
Corner Kicks
2
8
Offsides
0
2
Ball Possession
38%
62%
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
0
Total Passes
345
557
Accurate Passes
272
466
Pass Accuracy
79%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
1.00
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.92
-0.92

Rivalry since 2011

Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 5

Portsmouth and Middlesbrough have met 5 times — Portsmouth won 2, Middlesbrough won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Portsmouth leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 16 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.20 per match (8 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Portsmouth are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2024.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
16 · 3.2/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
4/5 · 80%

Recent Meetings

11/04/26Championship
Match Details
18/01/25Championship
Match Details
24/08/24Championship
Match Details
03/03/12Championship
Match Details
06/08/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Portsmouth have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Middlesbrough show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Portsmouth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Apr 202625/261.49/4.00/6.25
Match Details
4 Oct 202525/262.95/3.42/2.33
Match Details
18 Jan 202524/254.19/3.76/1.80
Match Details
24 Aug 202424/251.47/4.39/6.80
Match Details
3 Dec 201110/112.07/3.32/3.54
8 Jun 201111/122.03/3.30/3.68
3 Mar 201211/122.95/3.15/2.43
10 Feb 201010/112.02/3.29/3.67

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.9%Draw 29.2%Away 42.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.903.402.25
Max3.003.452.41
Over 2.5: 49.3%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.9%27.6%39.5%
Public market31.1%27.4%41.5%
Δ1.8%0.2%1.9%

Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Portsmouth
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PortsmouthHalf-time:10Middlesbrough
8Shots12
1Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Portsmouth

W 56D 49L 79
Over 2.545
Goals scored210

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026