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Bristol City vs Southampton

21 October 2025 at 20:00Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Referee: Anthony Backhouse

Match Summary

Bristol City defeated Southampton 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by A. Armstrong 30′, A. Mehmeti 33′, S. Twine 57′, S. Twine 64′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Bristol City had 33% possession while Southampton held 67%. Bristol City had 13 shots (4 on target) compared to 14 (7 on target) for Southampton. Expected goals: Bristol City 1.63 — Southampton 2.18. Bristol City made 5 substitutions, Southampton made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Bristol City and Southampton — 4 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
E. RiisS. Armstrong
53′
65′
S. CharlesR. Manning
66′
C. ArcherJ. Robinson
M. SykesR. McCrorie
72′
S. TwineL. Pecover
72′
78′
C. JanderF. Downes
R. AtkinsonH. Roberts
90+2′
A. MehmetiY. Hirakawa
90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Bristol City had 33% possession against Southampton's 67%. Bristol City registered 13 shots (4 on target) while Southampton managed 14 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 2–3. Fouls committed: 10–11.

Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Total Shots
13
14
Blocked Shots
1
1
Shots inside the Box
7
10
Shots outside the Box
6
4
Fouls
10
11
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
0
3
Ball Possession
33%
67%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
1
Total Passes
260
530
Accurate Passes
174
446
Pass Accuracy
67%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
2.18
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.33
-0.33

Rivalry since 2011

Bristol City vs Southampton Head to Head Results· 6

Bristol City and Southampton have met 6 times — Bristol City won 3, Southampton won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Bristol City leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (8 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2026.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
14 · 2.3/match
Both scored
2/6 · 33%
Over 2.5
2/6 · 33%

Recent Meetings

21/04/26Championship
Match Details
13/02/24Championship
Match Details
29/11/23Championship
Match Details
24/09/13League Cup
Match Details
30/12/11Championship
Match Details
26/11/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bristol City have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Southampton show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Bristol City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Bristol City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30/12/1111/121.43/4.21/7.55
26/11/1111/124.21/3.44/1.79
21 Apr 202625/261.39/4.33/8.00
Match Details
21 Oct 202525/262.48/3.40/2.76
Match Details
24/10/0707/082.17/3.32/3.16
13 Feb 202423/244.38/3.63/1.79
Match Details
29 Nov 202323/241.57/4.24/5.52
Match Details
14/02/0908/091.72/3.41/4.69
11 Aug 200808/092.43/3.21/2.71
4 May 200807/082.54/3.21/2.56

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.3%Draw 29.5%Away 36.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.302.75
Max2.563.492.77
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.6%27.6%34.8%
Public market38.5%28.0%33.6%
Δ0.8%0.4%1.2%

Bristol City vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bristol City
Result vs. Market: Bristol City (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol CityHalf-time:11Southampton
13Shots14
4Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol City

W 267D 210L 305
Over 2.547
Goals scored963

Away Record: Southampton

W 131D 94L 97
Over 2.552
Goals scored482

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026