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ChampionshipSeason 2025

Portsmouth vs Stoke City

25 October 2025 at 12:30Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Referee: Thomas Kirk

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Portsmouth 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by H. Matthews 70′ (o.g.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Portsmouth had 48% possession while Stoke City held 52%. Portsmouth had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.83 — Stoke City 0.90. Portsmouth made 4 substitutions, Stoke City made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Portsmouth and Stoke City — 1 goal and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
J. WilliamsT. Devlin
67′
Yang Min-HyukJ. Murphy
67′
70′
H. Matthews

Own Goal

H. MatthewsJ. Knight
71′
71′
J. BaeT. Rigo
A. DozzellM. Kosznovszky
85′
90+5′
L. BakerT. Seko
90+1′
B. PearsonS. N'Zonzi
Full Time

Match Statistics

Portsmouth had 48% possession against Stoke City's 52%. Portsmouth registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Stoke City managed 11 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 8–15.

Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots Off Goal
7
8
Total Shots
14
11
Blocked Shots
4
1
Shots inside the Box
10
9
Shots outside the Box
4
2
Fouls
8
15
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
4
3
Ball Possession
48%
52%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
3
Total Passes
327
377
Accurate Passes
223
281
Pass Accuracy
68%
75%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
0.90
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.84
0.84

Rivalry since 2014

Portsmouth vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 4

Portsmouth and Stoke City have met 4 times — Portsmouth won 2, Stoke City won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.50 per match (7 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2024.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
18 · 4.5/match
Both scored
3/4 · 75%
Over 2.5
4/4 · 100%

Recent Meetings

25/04/26Championship
Match Details
22/01/25Championship
Match Details
02/10/24Championship
Match Details
27/08/14League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 61 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Portsmouth have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Stoke City show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Portsmouth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Apr 202625/262.70/3.20/2.55
Match Details
25 Oct 202525/262.75/3.07/2.67
Match Details
22 Jan 202524/252.43/3.28/2.94
Match Details
2 Oct 202424/251.83/3.67/4.25
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.4%Draw 32.6%Away 37.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.743.052.57
Max2.753.092.78
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market34.8%30.9%34.3%
Public market33.7%30.3%36.0%
Δ1.2%0.5%1.7%

Portsmouth vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Stoke City (37%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PortsmouthHalf-time:00Stoke City
14Shots11
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Portsmouth

W 56D 49L 79
Over 2.545
Goals scored210

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026