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Blackburn vs Southampton

25 October 2025 at 15:00Ewood Park, Blackburn
Referee: Robert Madley

Match Summary

Blackburn defeated Southampton 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by L. Scienza 23′, R. Alebiosu 76′, A. Gudjohnsen 86′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Blackburn had 51% possession while Southampton held 49%. Blackburn had 18 shots (6 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Southampton. Expected goals: Blackburn 3.20 — Southampton 1.67. Blackburn made 3 substitutions, Southampton made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Blackburn and Southampton — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
59′
C. ArcherR. Fraser
R. MorishitaA. Henriksson
67′
D. De NeveR. Hedges
67′
S. TronstadK. Montgomery
67′
68′
L. ScienzaJ. Stephens
R. Alebiosu

assist: L. Miller

76′
81′
R. EdwardsJ. Robinson
81′
S. CharlesC. Bragg
90+4′Welington
Full Time

Match Statistics

Blackburn had 51% possession against Southampton's 49%. Blackburn registered 18 shots (6 on target) while Southampton managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–5. Fouls committed: 13–7.

Shots on Goal
6
5
Shots Off Goal
7
3
Total Shots
18
12
Blocked Shots
5
4
Shots inside the Box
13
9
Shots outside the Box
5
3
Fouls
13
7
Corner Kicks
6
5
Offsides
1
3
Ball Possession
51%
49%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
5
Total Passes
384
380
Accurate Passes
279
268
Pass Accuracy
73%
71%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.20
1.67
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.22
-0.22

Rivalry since 2023

Blackburn vs Southampton Head to Head Results· 3

Blackburn and Southampton have met 3 times — Blackburn won 0, Southampton won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Southampton leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 7 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (0 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Southampton are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2023.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
7 · 2.3/match
Both scored
0/3 · 0%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

14/04/26Championship
Match Details
06/04/24Championship
Match Details
16/12/23Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Southampton show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Blackburn.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Apr 202625/261.51/4.10/5.75
Match Details
25 Oct 202525/262.99/3.29/2.34
Match Details
6 Apr 202423/243.96/3.98/1.82
Match Details
16 Dec 202323/241.67/3.99/4.83
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.5%Draw 30.4%Away 42.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.953.252.30
Max3.023.322.39
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Southampton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.5%28.7%39.8%
Public market31.3%28.5%40.2%

Blackburn vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Blackburn
Result vs. Market: Southampton (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BlackburnHalf-time:01Southampton
18Shots12
6Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Away Record: Southampton

W 131D 94L 97
Over 2.552
Goals scored482

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026