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Wrexham vs Watford

13 December 2025 at 15:00Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
22
Referee: Jacob Miles

Match Summary

Wrexham and Watford drew 2:2. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by J. Windass 21′, M. Doumbia 30′, O. Maamma 42′, O. Rathbone 90′. 9 yellow cards were shown. Wrexham had 52% possession while Watford held 48%. Wrexham had 16 shots (3 on target) compared to 12 (3 on target) for Watford. Expected goals: Wrexham 1.20 — Watford 0.83. Wrexham made 5 substitutions, Watford made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Wrexham and Watford — 4 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
21′
30′
Half Time
L. O'BrienN. Broadhead
62′
73′
L. KjerrumgaardV. Semedo
G. DobsonR. Hardie
78′
J. McCleanR. Barnett
78′
83′
J. AbankwahK. Keben
89′
E. KayembeM. Sissoko
Ben Sheaf90+10′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Wrexham had 52% possession against Watford's 48%. Wrexham registered 16 shots (3 on target) while Watford managed 12 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 7–1. Fouls committed: 10–9.

Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
8
3
Total Shots
16
12
Blocked Shots
5
6
Shots inside the Box
12
8
Shots outside the Box
4
4
Fouls
10
9
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
5
1
Ball Possession
52%
48%
Yellow Cards
3
6
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
1
Total Passes
450
434
Accurate Passes
338
327
Pass Accuracy
75%
75%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
0.83
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-1.05
-1.05

Rivalry since 2026

Wrexham vs Watford Head to Head Results· 1

Wrexham and Watford have met 1 times — Wrexham won 0, Watford won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Watford leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 1 meeting. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (1 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2026.

0
wins
Drawn
0
·
1
wins
Total goals
4 · 4.0/match
Both scored
1/1 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/1 · 100%

Recent Meetings

17/03/26Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Wrexham have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Wrexham

DLWWLL

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
1
2 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202625/262.20/3.40/3.00
Match Details
13 Dec 202525/262.55/3.23/2.75
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.1%Draw 31.0%Away 36.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.202.70
Max2.613.252.79
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.5%29.3%34.2%
Public market36.9%28.9%34.2%

Wrexham vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Wrexham (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WrexhamHalf-time:12Watford
16Shots12
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Wrexham

W 19D 14L 13
Over 2.550
Goals scored69

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026