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Hull City vs Stoke City

1 January 2026 at 15:00MKM Stadium, Hull
01
Referee: Craig Pawson

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Hull City 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by R. Bozenik 39′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Hull City had 51% possession while Stoke City held 49%. Hull City had 15 shots (1 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: Hull City 1.31 — Stoke City 1.65. Hull City made 5 substitutions, Stoke City made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Hull City and Stoke City — 1 goal and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
K. JosephJ. Ndala
46′
54′
R. BozenikS. Gallagher
D. GyabiE. Destan
73′
A. FamewoK. Palmer
73′
L. MillarB. Akintola
89′
R. SlaterA. Hadziahmetovic
89′
90+6′
T. RigoT. Seko
90+13′
B. LawalS. N'Zonzi
90+6′
L. CisseM. Manhoef
Full Time

Match Statistics

Hull City had 51% possession against Stoke City's 49%. Hull City registered 15 shots (1 on target) while Stoke City managed 12 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 6–6. Fouls committed: 13–13.

Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots Off Goal
9
3
Total Shots
15
12
Blocked Shots
5
3
Shots inside the Box
12
8
Shots outside the Box
3
4
Fouls
13
13
Corner Kicks
6
6
Offsides
2
2
Ball Possession
51%
49%
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1
Total Passes
381
369
Accurate Passes
272
266
Pass Accuracy
71%
72%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
1.65
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.40
0.40

Rivalry since 2013

Hull City vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 20

Hull City and Stoke City have met 20 times — Hull City won 6, Stoke City won 11, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Stoke City leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 20 meetings. A combined 49 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.45 per match (18 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2020.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
49 · 2.5/match
Both scored
9/20 · 45%
Over 2.5
9/20 · 45%

Recent Meetings

29/11/25Championship
Match Details
01/02/25Championship
Match Details
20/09/24Championship
Match Details
29/03/24Championship
Match Details
24/09/23Championship
Match Details
11/02/23Championship
Match Details
13/09/22Championship
Match Details
16/01/22Championship
Match Details
25/09/21Championship
Match Details
07/03/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Hull City have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Stoke City show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Stoke City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Jan 202625/262.37/3.24/3.04
Match Details
29 Nov 202525/261.66/3.79/5.00
Match Details
1 Feb 202524/251.92/3.45/4.00
Match Details
20 Sept 202424/252.13/3.44/3.49
Match Details
29 Mar 202423/241.94/3.62/3.85
Match Details
24 Sept 202323/241.90/3.61/3.79
Match Details
11 Feb 202322/232.06/3.29/3.81
Match Details
13 Sept 202222/232.83/3.21/2.60
Match Details
16 Jan 202221/222.87/3.31/2.51
Match Details
25 Sept 202121/221.59/3.79/6.34
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.3%Draw 30.9%Away 32.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.323.203.04
Max2.413.283.05
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.6%29.1%31.4%
Public market40.2%29.2%30.6%

Hull City vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Hull City (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Hull CityHalf-time:01Stoke City
15Shots12
1Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Hull City

W 249D 181L 260
Over 2.545
Goals scored861

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026