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Norwich vs Stoke City

4 January 2026 at 15:00Carrow Road, Norwich
02
Referee: Farai Hallam

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Norwich 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by S. Gallagher 75′, S. Thomas 82′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Norwich had 52% possession while Stoke City held 48%. Norwich had 7 shots (1 on target) compared to 14 (4 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: Norwich 0.54 — Stoke City 2.06. Norwich made 5 substitutions, Stoke City made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Norwich and Stoke City — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
L. MahovoB. Chrisene
60′
M. JurasekO. Schwartau
60′
61′
T. RigoT. Seko
61′
L. CisseM. Manhoef
J. WrightE. Marcondes
68′
82′
S. Thomas

assist: M. Manhoef

K. FisherJ. Stacey
89′
J. SargentM. Kvistgaarden
89′
89′
B. PearsonS. N'Zonzi
Full Time

Match Statistics

Norwich had 52% possession against Stoke City's 48%. Norwich registered 7 shots (1 on target) while Stoke City managed 14 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 9–10.

Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Total Shots
7
14
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots inside the Box
6
8
Shots outside the Box
1
6
Fouls
9
10
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
4
6
Ball Possession
52%
48%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1
Total Passes
429
393
Accurate Passes
338
291
Pass Accuracy
79%
74%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
2.06
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.08
0.08

Rivalry since 2011

Norwich vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 19

Norwich and Stoke City have met 19 times — Norwich won 8, Stoke City won 4, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Norwich leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 47 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.47 per match (28 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (37%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Norwich are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

8
wins
Drawn
7
·
Total goals
47 · 2.5/match
Both scored
11/19 · 58%
Over 2.5
7/19 · 37%

Recent Meetings

27/09/25Championship
Match Details
22/02/25Championship
Match Details
19/10/24Championship
Match Details
16/03/24Championship
Match Details
16/09/23Championship
Match Details
18/03/23Championship
Match Details
29/10/22Championship
Match Details
13/02/21Championship
Match Details
24/11/20Championship
Match Details
22/04/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Norwich have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Stoke City show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Norwich

LDWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Norwich dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

6
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Norwich.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Jan 202625/262.20/3.50/3.08
Match Details
27 Sept 202525/261.99/3.63/3.51
Match Details
22 Feb 202524/251.67/3.89/5.03
Match Details
19 Oct 202424/252.58/3.44/2.67
Match Details
16 Mar 202423/242.57/3.34/2.75
Match Details
16 Sept 202323/241.88/3.54/3.98
Match Details
18 Mar 202322/232.49/3.29/2.89
Match Details
29 Oct 202222/232.01/3.42/3.83
Match Details
13 Feb 202120/211.81/3.46/4.91
Match Details
24 Nov 202020/213.07/3.22/2.43
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 28.5%Away 32.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.503.05
Max2.253.513.12
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite:Norwich · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.3%27.1%30.5%
Public market43.1%26.5%30.4%

Norwich vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Norwich (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorwichHalf-time:00Stoke City
7Shots14
1Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Norwich

W 271D 155L 218
Over 2.553
Goals scored961

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026