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Derby vs Swansea

14 February 2026 at 15:00Pride Park, Derby
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Derby

20
Referee: Andrew Kitchen

Match Summary

Derby defeated Swansea 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by R. Brewster 47′, P. Agyemang 67′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Derby had 28% possession while Swansea held 72%. Derby had 11 shots (6 on target) compared to 15 (2 on target) for Swansea. Expected goals: Derby 0.80 — Swansea 1.00. Derby made 5 substitutions, Swansea made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Derby and Swansea — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
65′
J. EomGustavo Nunes
65′
L. CullenL. Walta
P. Agyemang

assist: C. Elder

67′
R. BrewsterL. Thompson
72′
O. FrauloB. Clark
72′
77′
RonaldM. Widell
77′
G. FrancoM. Yalcouye
85′
M. StamenicJ. Fulton
P. AgyemangL. Salvesen
88′
S. SzmodicsJ. Banel
88′
90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Derby had 28% possession against Swansea's 72%. Derby registered 11 shots (6 on target) while Swansea managed 15 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 20–12.

Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Total Shots
11
15
Blocked Shots
3
6
Shots inside the Box
5
5
Shots outside the Box
6
10
Fouls
20
12
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
28%
72%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
3
Total Passes
218
580
Accurate Passes
153
504
Pass Accuracy
70%
87%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
1.00
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.22
0.22

Rivalry since 2018

Derby vs Swansea Head to Head Results· 11

Derby and Swansea have met 11 times — Derby won 4, Swansea won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.27 per match (13 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2020.

4
wins
Drawn
3
·
4
wins
Total goals
25 · 2.3/match
Both scored
7/11 · 64%
Over 2.5
6/11 · 55%

Recent Meetings

25/11/25Championship
Match Details
05/04/25Championship
Match Details
27/11/24Championship
Match Details
09/04/22Championship
Match Details
02/10/21Championship
Match Details
01/05/21Championship
Match Details
16/12/20Championship
Match Details
08/02/20Championship
Match Details
10/08/19Championship
Match Details
01/05/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Swansea show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
2
10 meetings
4
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Feb 202625/262.10/3.20/3.30
Match Details
25 Nov 202525/262.15/3.15/3.67
Match Details
5 Apr 202524/252.05/3.21/3.94
Match Details
27 Nov 202424/252.46/3.27/2.93
Match Details
9 Apr 202221/222.11/3.30/3.68
Match Details
2 Oct 202121/222.50/3.08/3.09
Match Details
1 May 202120/212.42/3.13/3.21
Match Details
16 Dec 202020/213.29/3.16/2.35
Match Details
8 Feb 202019/202.01/3.51/3.82
Match Details
10 Aug 201919/202.23/3.34/3.35
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 9.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 31.3%Away 30.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.203.30
Max2.103.203.30
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Derby (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:00Swansea
11Shots15
6Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Away Record: Swansea

W 200D 141L 165
Over 2.546
Goals scored648

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026