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Portsmouth vs Derby

16 March 2026 at 20:00Fratton Park, Portsmouth
01
Away

Derby

Referee: Anthony Backhouse

Match Summary

Derby defeated Portsmouth 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by S. Szmodics 8′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Portsmouth had 68% possession while Derby held 32%. Portsmouth had 27 shots (9 on target) compared to 10 (4 on target) for Derby. Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.72 — Derby 1.00. Portsmouth made 5 substitutions, Derby made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Portsmouth and Derby — 1 goal and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
Z. SwansonC. Shaughnessy
63′
72′
P. AgyemangC. Morris
72′
S. SzmodicsD. Ozoh
E. AdamsC. Bishop
77′
M. AlliA. Segecic
77′
J. BrownM. Kirk
83′
83′
83′
D. MurkinC. Forsyth
Full Time

Match Statistics

Portsmouth had 68% possession against Derby's 32%. Portsmouth registered 27 shots (9 on target) while Derby managed 10 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 11–3. Fouls committed: 14–13.

Shots on Goal
9
4
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Total Shots
27
10
Blocked Shots
12
2
Shots inside the Box
18
8
Shots outside the Box
9
2
Fouls
14
13
Corner Kicks
11
3
Offsides
1
2
Ball Possession
68%
32%
Yellow Cards
2
6
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
9
Total Passes
493
243
Accurate Passes
396
145
Pass Accuracy
80%
60%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
1.00
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.84
0.84

Rivalry since 2011

Portsmouth vs Derby Head to Head Results· 10

Portsmouth and Derby have met 10 times — Portsmouth won 1, Derby won 3, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Derby leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (11 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Derby are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

Drawn
6
·
3
wins
Total goals
28 · 2.8/match
Both scored
8/10 · 80%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

20/12/25Championship
Match Details
12/04/25Championship
Match Details
13/12/24Championship
Match Details
02/04/24League One
Match Details
16/09/23League One
Match Details
29/04/23League One
Match Details
18/11/22League One
Match Details
12/08/15League Cup
Match Details
21/04/12Championship
Match Details
29/10/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Portsmouth have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Derby show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Derby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
8 meetings
5
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/10/1111/122.54/3.11/2.85
16 Mar 202625/262.15/3.20/3.40
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/262.02/3.21/3.92
Match Details
12 Apr 202524/252.35/3.10/3.31
Match Details
13 Dec 202424/252.09/3.17/3.74
Match Details
21/04/1211/122.04/3.33/3.63
11 Jun 201010/112.30/3.27/3.06
2 May 201110/112.00/3.35/3.72

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 31.3%Away 29.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.203.40
Max2.153.203.40
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Portsmouth · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Portsmouth (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PortsmouthHalf-time:01Derby
27Shots10
9Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Portsmouth

W 56D 49L 79
Over 2.545
Goals scored210

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026