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Norwich vs Derby

21 April 2026 at 19:45Carrow Road, Norwich
21
Away

Derby

Referee: Tom Reeves

Match Events

Kick Off
33′
Half Time
54′
D. Ozoh

assist: C. Morris

60′
M. ToureM. Kvistgaarden
62′
67′
D. MurkinC. Forsyth
67′
J. BanelL. Salvesen
67′
B. Brereton DiazM. Johnston
75′
D. OzohO. Fraulo
P. MaghomaA. Slimane
80′
A. ForsonE. Mundle Smith
80′
87′
L. TravisO. Eames
J. StaceyS. Field
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Norwich had 55% possession against Derby's 45%. Norwich registered 14 shots (6 on target) while Derby managed 11 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 9–17.

Shots on Goal
6
8
Shots Off Goal
5
3
Total Shots
14
11
Blocked Shots
3
0
Shots inside the Box
8
9
Shots outside the Box
6
2
Fouls
9
17
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
2
5
Ball Possession
55%
45%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
4
Total Passes
418
338
Accurate Passes
308
236
Pass Accuracy
74%
70%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
1.20
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.47
0.47

Match Summary

Norwich defeated Derby 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by M. Toure 33′, D. Ozoh 54′, L. Gibbs 60′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Norwich had 55% possession while Derby held 45%. Norwich had 14 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (8 on target) for Derby. Expected goals: Norwich 1.54 — Derby 1.20. Norwich made 4 substitutions, Derby made 5.

Rivalry since 2014

Norwich vs Derby Head to Head Results· 13

3
wins
Drawn
5
·
5
wins
Total goals
34 · 2.6/match
Both scored
8/13 · 62%
Over 2.5
5/13 · 38%

Recent Meetings

21/10/25Championship
Match Details
08/02/25Championship
Match Details
28/09/24Championship
Match Details
10/04/21Championship
Match Details
03/10/20Championship
Match Details
29/12/18Championship
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03/10/18Championship
Match Details
10/02/18Championship
Match Details
28/10/17Championship
Match Details
02/01/17Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Norwich

LDWWLW

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Norwich3wins
3draws10 meetings
Derby4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.0%Draw 28.6%Away 27.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.963.503.60
Max1.963.503.60
Over 2.5: 54.6%Under 2.5: 49.3%
Market favourite:Norwich · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Norwich
Result vs. Market: Norwich (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorwichHalf-time:10Derby
14Shots11
6Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Apr 202625/261.96/3.50/3.60
21 Oct 202525/262.52/3.13/2.91
8 Feb 202524/251.70/3.82/4.82
28 Sept 202424/252.73/3.53/2.51
10 Apr 202120/214.92/3.76/1.73
3 Oct 202020/211.68/3.97/4.96
29 Dec 201818/192.16/3.47/3.37
3 Oct 201818/192.15/3.43/3.61
28/10/1717/182.13/3.37/3.71
2 Oct 201817/182.05/3.35/3.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Norwich

W 271D 155L 218
Over 2.553
Goals scored961

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026