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Hull City vs Millwall

10 April 2023 at 15:00The MKM Stadium, Hull
10
Referee: J. Smith

Match Summary

Hull City defeated Millwall 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Hull City vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 22

Hull City and Millwall have met 22 times — Hull City won 9, Millwall won 6, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Hull City leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.18 per match (27 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2012.

Drawn
7
·
Total goals
48 · 2.2/match
Both scored
11/22 · 50%
Over 2.5
10/22 · 45%

Recent Meetings

11/05/26Championship
Match Details
08/05/26Championship
Match Details
07/03/26Championship
Match Details
13/12/25Championship
Match Details
18/01/25Championship
Match Details
24/08/24Championship
Match Details
03/02/24Championship
Match Details
07/10/23Championship
Match Details
05/11/22Championship
Match Details
18/04/22Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Hull City have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Hull City

WWDWLD

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Hull City5wins
3draws10 meetings
Millwall2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Hull City.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.9%Draw 32.1%Away 40.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.002.40
Max3.293.252.48
Over 2.5: 42.0%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.5%31.3%39.2%
Public market31.8%29.3%38.9%
Δ2.2%1.9%0.3%

Hull City vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Hull City
Result vs. Market: Millwall (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Hull CityHalf-time:00Millwall
8Shots22
2Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/263.10/3.30/2.25
13 Dec 202525/261.93/3.60/3.70
18 Jan 202524/252.11/3.16/3.81
24 Aug 202424/252.22/3.32/3.38
3 Feb 202423/242.02/3.41/3.76
7 Oct 202323/242.29/3.38/3.14
10 Apr 202322/233.13/3.12/2.44
5 Nov 202222/231.83/3.53/4.57
18 Apr 202221/221.84/3.36/4.83
27 Nov 202121/222.67/3.07/2.84

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Hull City

W 249D 181L 260
Over 2.545
Goals scored861

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026