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Blackburn vs Millwall

20 December 2025 at 12:30Ewood Park, Blackburn
20
Referee: Sam Allison

Match Summary

Blackburn defeated Millwall 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by A. Gudjohnsen 3′, Y. Ohashi 45′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Blackburn had 45% possession while Millwall held 55%. Blackburn had 11 shots (5 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Millwall. Expected goals: Blackburn 2.35 — Millwall 0.59. Blackburn made 5 substitutions, Millwall made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Blackburn and Millwall — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
A. EmakhuC. Taylor
46′
T. BalloM. Langstaff
64′
B. MitchellR. Leonard
64′
C. NeghliR. Bangura-Williams
R. MorishitaM. Baradji
66′
A. GudjohnsenA. Henriksson
66′
H. PickeringR. Hedges
67′
M. LitherlandT. Atcheson
73′
Y. OhashiN. Dlamini
90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Blackburn had 45% possession against Millwall's 55%. Blackburn registered 11 shots (5 on target) while Millwall managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–6. Fouls committed: 9–18.

Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Total Shots
11
10
Blocked Shots
2
1
Shots inside the Box
8
5
Shots outside the Box
3
5
Fouls
9
18
Corner Kicks
3
6
Offsides
0
3
Ball Possession
45%
55%
Yellow Cards
3
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
3
Total Passes
315
368
Accurate Passes
201
244
Pass Accuracy
64%
66%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
0.59
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.54
0.54

Rivalry since 2012

Blackburn vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 23

Blackburn and Millwall have met 23 times — Blackburn won 12, Millwall won 4, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Blackburn leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 57 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.48 per match (35 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2023.

12
wins
Drawn
7
·
Total goals
57 · 2.5/match
Both scored
12/23 · 52%
Over 2.5
10/23 · 43%

Recent Meetings

14/03/26Championship
Match Details
18/04/25Championship
Match Details
21/12/24Championship
Match Details
05/03/24Championship
Match Details
24/10/23Championship
Match Details
08/05/23Championship
Match Details
01/10/22Championship
Match Details
08/03/22Championship
Match Details
14/08/21Championship
Match Details
06/03/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Blackburn

LWDLDD

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Blackburn dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Blackburn6wins
3draws10 meetings
Millwall1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Blackburn.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 30.1%Away 29.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.303.40
Max2.203.353.49
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Blackburn · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.7%28.7%27.6%
Public market44.4%28.2%27.4%

Blackburn vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Blackburn
Result vs. Market: Blackburn (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BlackburnHalf-time:20Millwall
11Shots10
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/261.66/3.50/5.25
20 Dec 202525/262.15/3.33/3.45
18 Apr 202524/252.34/3.13/3.25
21 Dec 202424/252.34/3.19/3.20
5 Mar 202423/242.22/3.28/3.39
24 Oct 202323/242.46/3.45/2.88
8 May 202322/231.90/3.69/3.89
1 Oct 202222/232.26/3.24/3.37
8 Mar 202221/222.13/3.00/4.06
14 Aug 202121/222.45/3.17/3.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026