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Burton Albion vs Lincoln

20 April 2021 at 19:00Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
Referee: J. Smith

Match Summary

Lincoln defeated Burton Albion 1:0. The match was played in League One 2020.

Rivalry since 2019

Burton Albion vs Lincoln Head to Head Results· 14

Burton Albion and Lincoln have met 14 times — Burton Albion won 5, Lincoln won 9, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.57 per match (15 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lincoln are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2020.

Drawn
0
·
9
wins
Total goals
36 · 2.6/match
Both scored
6/14 · 43%
Over 2.5
7/14 · 50%

Recent Meetings

22/01/26League One
Match Details
13/09/25League One
Match Details
26/08/25League Cup
Match Details
22/02/25League One
Match Details
10/08/24League One
Match Details
03/02/24League One
Match Details
14/10/23League One
Match Details
25/04/23League One
Match Details
26/12/22League One
Match Details
29/01/22League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Lincoln show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
10 meetings
5
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Lincoln.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Jan 202625/261.51/3.60/5.75
Match Details
13 Sept 202525/262.75/3.41/2.45
Match Details
22 Feb 202524/251.85/3.44/4.35
Match Details
10 Aug 202424/253.01/3.32/2.31
Match Details
3 Feb 202423/242.94/3.19/2.46
Match Details
14 Oct 202323/242.00/3.40/3.88
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25 Apr 202322/232.03/3.39/3.77
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26 Dec 202222/232.28/3.31/3.18
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29 Jan 202221/222.17/3.40/3.33
Match Details
25 Sept 202121/222.54/3.37/2.70
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.9%Draw 30.4%Away 42.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.883.202.30
Max3.153.362.39
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Lincoln · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.7%28.8%40.5%
Public market30.4%28.6%41.0%

Burton Albion vs Lincoln — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lincoln
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (42%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:01Lincoln
11Shots16
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Away Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026