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Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard

16 May 2021 at 13:30Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Match Summary

Willem II defeated Fortuna Sittard 2:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2020.

Rivalry since 2018

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard Head to Head Results· 9

Willem II and Fortuna Sittard have met 9 times — Willem II won 2, Fortuna Sittard won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Fortuna Sittard leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (13 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fortuna Sittard are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2018.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
27 · 3.0/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Meetings

27/04/25Eredivisie
Match Details
20/10/24Eredivisie
Match Details
13/03/22Eredivisie
Match Details
22/10/21Eredivisie
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05/12/20Eredivisie
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21/12/19Eredivisie
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18/08/19Eredivisie
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30/03/19Eredivisie
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22/09/18Eredivisie
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Highest-scoring game: 44 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Willem II have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Fortuna Sittard show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Fortuna Sittard.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Apr 202524/251.81/3.63/4.46
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20 Oct 202424/252.26/3.34/3.17
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13 Mar 202221/222.37/3.31/3.07
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22 Oct 202121/221.89/3.81/3.92
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16 May 202120/211.85/4.04/3.68
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5 Dec 202020/212.99/3.76/2.22
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21 Dec 201919/201.45/4.74/6.35
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18 Aug 201919/203.04/3.63/2.22
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30 Mar 201918/191.59/4.59/4.71
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22 Sept 201818/192.39/3.50/2.81
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Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.1%Draw 24.7%Away 27.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.833.903.58
Max1.884.233.75
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 41.7%
Market favourite:Willem II · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.3%22.3%26.4%
Public market51.4%23.5%25.1%
Δ1.2%1.3%

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Willem II
Result vs. Market: Willem II (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Willem IIHalf-time:10Fortuna Sittard
18Shots10
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Willem II

W 292D 209L 443
Over 2.558
Goals scored1240

Away Record: Fortuna Sittard

W 140D 118L 243
Over 2.558
Goals scored595

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026