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KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise

2 November 2024 at 19:45AFAS Stadion, Malines

Match Summary

KV Mechelen and Union St. Gilloise drew 1:1. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2024.

Rivalry since 2018

KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise Head to Head Results· 16

KV Mechelen and Union St. Gilloise have met 16 times — KV Mechelen won 7, Union St. Gilloise won 7, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. A combined 43 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.69 per match (21 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Union St. Gilloise are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–5 in 2019.

Total goals
43 · 2.7/match
Both scored
7/16 · 44%
Over 2.5
10/16 · 63%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 05 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, KV Mechelen have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Union St. Gilloise show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate KV Mechelen.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 May 202625/261.33/4.50/8.00
Match Details
12 Apr 202625/265.00/3.50/1.65
Match Details
17 Jan 202625/261.30/4.50/9.00
Match Details
9 Nov 202525/265.00/4.00/1.62
Match Details
16 Feb 202524/251.55/4.24/5.30
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2 Nov 202424/253.69/3.72/1.90
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17 Dec 202323/241.32/5.13/8.70
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19 Aug 202323/244.31/3.88/1.78
Match Details
19 Mar 202322/231.38/4.88/7.21
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6 Aug 202222/233.15/3.59/2.14
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 27.1%Draw 26.9%Away 52.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.573.701.83
Max3.903.751.97
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Union St. Gilloise · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market26.5%25.5%48.0%
Public market26.0%25.0%49.0%
Δ0.5%0.6%1.0%

KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Union St. Gilloise (53%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KV MechelenHalf-time:01Union St. Gilloise
11Shots8
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: KV Mechelen

W 251D 182L 319
Over 2.555
Goals scored984

Away Record: Union St. Gilloise

W 120D 41L 24
Over 2.557
Goals scored360

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026