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KV Mechelen vs Dender

16 March 2025 at 17:30AFAS Stadion, Malines
21
Away

Dender

Referee: B. Put

Match Summary

KV Mechelen defeated Dender 2:1. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2024.

Rivalry since 2024

KV Mechelen vs Dender Head to Head Results· 5

KV Mechelen and Dender have met 5 times — KV Mechelen won 3, Dender won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. KV Mechelen leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.80 per match (16 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. KV Mechelen are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2025.

Drawn
2
·
0
wins
Total goals
24 · 4.8/match
Both scored
5/5 · 100%
Over 2.5
4/5 · 80%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, KV Mechelen have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Dender show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Dender

DLLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.5

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

KV Mechelen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate KV Mechelen.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Dec 202525/262.15/3.40/3.10
Match Details
19 Oct 202525/262.70/3.41/2.54
Match Details
24 May 202524/253.27/3.75/2.02
Match Details
4 Apr 202524/251.83/3.88/4.03
Match Details
16 Mar 202524/251.86/3.65/4.00
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/252.72/3.50/2.43
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.9%Draw 27.4%Away 25.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.833.603.89
Max1.893.744.10
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:KV Mechelen · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.2%25.4%24.4%
Public market51.2%26.0%22.8%
Δ0.9%0.6%1.6%

KV Mechelen vs Dender — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

KV Mechelen
Result vs. Market: KV Mechelen (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KV MechelenHalf-time:00Dender
17Shots19
5Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: KV Mechelen

W 251D 182L 319
Over 2.555
Goals scored984

Away Record: Dender

W 33D 36L 74
Over 2.556
Goals scored159

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026