Jupiler Pro League· Season 2025
Match Summary
KV Mechelen defeated Dender 3:1. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2025. Goals were scored by M. Konate 7′, M. van Brederode 62′, L. Lauberbach 90′, B. Nsimba 90′ (pen.). 1 yellow card was shown. Dender had 54% possession while KV Mechelen held 46%. Dender had 19 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (6 on target) for KV Mechelen. Expected goals: Dender 3.20 — KV Mechelen 1.11. Dender made 5 substitutions, KV Mechelen made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Dender and KV Mechelen — 4 goals and 1 card recorded during the match.
assist: J. Marsa
Penalty
Match Statistics
Dender had 54% possession against KV Mechelen's 46%. Dender registered 19 shots (6 on target) while KV Mechelen managed 11 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 16–12.
Rivalry since 2024
Dender vs KV Mechelen Head to Head Results· 5
Dender and KV Mechelen have met 5 times — Dender won 0, KV Mechelen won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. KV Mechelen leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.60 per match (8 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. KV Mechelen are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2025.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Dender have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. KV Mechelen show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
4.5
Average goals per game
83%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
KV Mechelen dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate KV Mechelen.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Max | 2.70 | 3.41 | 2.59 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 35.3% | 27.9% | 36.8% |
| Public market | 34.8% | 27.6% | 37.6% |
Dender vs KV Mechelen — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Dender
Away Record: KV Mechelen
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026