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Union St. Gilloise vs Genk

3 May 2025 at 19:45Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

Match Summary

Union St. Gilloise defeated Genk 1:0. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2024.

Rivalry since 2020

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk Head to Head Results· 16

Union St. Gilloise and Genk have met 16 times — Union St. Gilloise won 9, Genk won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Union St. Gilloise leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 42 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.63 per match (25 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Union St. Gilloise are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2024.

Drawn
2
·
5
wins
Total goals
42 · 2.6/match
Both scored
10/16 · 63%
Over 2.5
10/16 · 63%

Recent Meetings

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Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Union St. Gilloise have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Genk show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Union St. Gilloise dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
10 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Union St. Gilloise.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/261.67/3.90/4.75
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21 Sept 202525/263.04/3.46/2.23
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3 May 202524/251.89/3.69/3.81
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20 Apr 202524/252.47/3.48/2.71
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15 Mar 202524/252.63/3.37/2.62
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10 Nov 202424/252.44/3.41/2.79
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26 May 202423/241.66/3.98/4.52
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1 Apr 202423/242.79/3.52/2.41
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3 Feb 202423/242.83/3.47/2.44
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16 Sept 202323/241.96/3.73/3.69
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Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.9%Draw 27.1%Away 26.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.883.603.70
Max1.903.773.91
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Union St. Gilloise · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.5%25.2%24.3%
Public market49.0%25.9%25.2%
Δ1.5%0.7%0.9%

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Union St. Gilloise
Result vs. Market: Union St. Gilloise (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Union St. GilloiseHalf-time:00Genk
11Shots3
4Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Union St. Gilloise

W 120D 41L 24
Over 2.557
Goals scored360

Away Record: Genk

W 482D 234L 271
Over 2.556
Goals scored1721

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026