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Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo

9 May 2025 at 19:45Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Referee: N. Laforge

Match Summary

Charleroi defeated KVC Westerlo 4:3. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo Head to Head Results· 19

Charleroi and KVC Westerlo have met 19 times — Charleroi won 9, KVC Westerlo won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Charleroi leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.68 per match (27 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. KVC Westerlo are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2023.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
51 · 2.7/match
Both scored
10/19 · 53%
Over 2.5
10/19 · 53%

Recent Meetings

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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Charleroi have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. KVC Westerlo show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Charleroi dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Charleroi.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 Apr 202625/262.40/3.40/2.60
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22 Feb 202625/262.25/3.40/2.75
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8 Nov 202525/262.10/3.40/3.30
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9 May 202524/251.66/4.38/4.52
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11 Apr 202524/252.89/3.58/2.33
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22 Feb 202524/252.25/3.54/2.94
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9 Nov 202424/252.09/3.56/3.27
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1 Mar 202423/241.90/3.46/4.20
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25 Nov 202323/241.82/3.71/4.01
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17 Sept 202222/232.15/3.60/3.32
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Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.4%Draw 22.8%Away 22.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.624.334.50
Max1.694.444.54
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 37.0%
Market favourite:Charleroi · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market57.0%21.7%21.2%
Public market57.7%21.6%20.8%

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Charleroi
Result vs. Market: Charleroi (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CharleroiHalf-time:12KVC Westerlo
17Shots13
8Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Charleroi

W 342D 255L 389
Over 2.552
Goals scored1267

Away Record: KVC Westerlo

W 241D 189L 304
Over 2.557
Goals scored1023

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026