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Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo

27 September 2025 at 19:45Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
Referee: Nicolas Laforge

Match Summary

Union St. Gilloise defeated KVC Westerlo 2:0. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2025. Goals were scored by P. David 63′, M. Giger 78′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Union St. Gilloise had 54% possession while KVC Westerlo held 46%. Union St. Gilloise had 19 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for KVC Westerlo. Expected goals: Union St. Gilloise 2.24 — KVC Westerlo 0.29. Union St. Gilloise made 5 substitutions, KVC Westerlo made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Union St. Gilloise and KVC Westerlo — 2 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
O. NiangL. Patris
46′
72′
J. AlcocerG. Yow
73′
I. SakamotoT. Van den Keybus
P. DavidS. Boufal
75′
M. Giger

assist: L. Patris

78′
A. KhalailiF. Leysen
81′
82′
A. PiedfortK. Vaesen
89′
A. SayyadmaneshA. Cordero
90′
NachoE. Bujupi
Full Time

Match Statistics

Union St. Gilloise had 54% possession against KVC Westerlo's 46%. Union St. Gilloise registered 19 shots (6 on target) while KVC Westerlo managed 7 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 9–2. Fouls committed: 15–11.

Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots Off Goal
7
2
Total Shots
19
7
Blocked Shots
6
3
Shots inside the Box
14
3
Shots outside the Box
5
4
Fouls
15
11
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
3
2
Ball Possession
54%
46%
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
5
Total Passes
409
353
Accurate Passes
308
257
Pass Accuracy
75%
73%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
0.29
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.96
0.96

Rivalry since 2017

Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo Head to Head Results· 25

Union St. Gilloise and KVC Westerlo have met 25 times — Union St. Gilloise won 12, KVC Westerlo won 6, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Union St. Gilloise leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 25 meetings. A combined 71 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.84 per match (43 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2024.

Total goals
71 · 2.8/match
Both scored
13/25 · 52%
Over 2.5
14/25 · 56%

Recent Meetings

19/03/21Challenger Pro League
Match Details
20/12/20Challenger Pro League
Match Details
31/10/20Challenger Pro League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Union St. Gilloise have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. KVC Westerlo show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (71%) — the odds may underestimate KVC Westerlo.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Mar 202625/264.50/3.60/1.67
Match Details
27 Sept 202525/261.35/5.29/7.83
Match Details
15 Dec 202424/251.46/4.57/5.97
Match Details
10 Aug 202424/253.75/3.79/1.88
Match Details
10 Feb 202423/241.27/5.92/9.64
Match Details
29 Oct 202323/244.95/4.14/1.63
Match Details
25 Feb 202322/233.55/3.69/1.99
Match Details
6 Nov 202222/231.58/4.06/5.49
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 74.1%Draw 18.9%Away 12.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.345.007.65
Max1.365.578.00
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 37.0%
Market favourite:Union St. Gilloise · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market70.6%17.0%12.4%
Public market69.3%18.9%11.8%
Δ1.3%1.9%0.6%

Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Union St. Gilloise
Result vs. Market: Union St. Gilloise (74%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Union St. GilloiseHalf-time:00KVC Westerlo
19Shots7
6Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Union St. Gilloise

W 120D 41L 24
Over 2.557
Goals scored360

Away Record: KVC Westerlo

W 241D 189L 304
Over 2.557
Goals scored1023

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026