Jupiler Pro League· Season 2025
Match Summary
St. Truiden defeated KV Mechelen 3:1. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2025. Goals were scored by S. Taniguchi 40′ (o.g.), A. Muja 74′ (pen.), K. Goto 87′, A. Ferrari 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. KV Mechelen had 50% possession while St. Truiden held 50%. KV Mechelen had 10 shots (3 on target) compared to 19 (9 on target) for St. Truiden. Expected goals: KV Mechelen 1.18 — St. Truiden 3.40. KV Mechelen made 4 substitutions, St. Truiden made 3. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Andrés Ferrari 72′).
Match Events
Key match events between KV Mechelen and St. Truiden — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
Penalty
assist: R. Yamamoto
assist: S. Jukleroed
Match Statistics
KV Mechelen had 50% possession against St. Truiden's 50%. KV Mechelen registered 10 shots (3 on target) while St. Truiden managed 19 (9 on target). Corner kicks: 5–9. Fouls committed: 18–14.
Rivalry since 2010
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden Head to Head Results· 30
KV Mechelen and St. Truiden have met 30 times — KV Mechelen won 10, St. Truiden won 14, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. St. Truiden leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.30 per match (33 for the home side, 36 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. St. Truiden are currently unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2026.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, KV Mechelen have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. St. Truiden show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
St. Truiden dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate St. Truiden.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.10 | 3.49 | 3.00 |
| Max | 2.22 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 42.9% | 27.3% | 29.8% |
| Public market | 43.8% | 25.5% | 30.7% |
| Δ | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: KV Mechelen
Away Record: St. Truiden
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026