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Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden

26 October 2025 at 18:15Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Match Summary

Union St. Gilloise defeated St. Truiden 2:0. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2025. Goals were scored by K. Rodriguez 64′, K. Rodriguez 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Union St. Gilloise had 46% possession while St. Truiden held 54%. Union St. Gilloise had 18 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for St. Truiden. Expected goals: Union St. Gilloise 1.67 — St. Truiden 1.93. Union St. Gilloise made 4 substitutions, St. Truiden made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Promise David 10′), Goal cancelled (Christian Burgess 29′).

Match Events

Key match events between Union St. Gilloise and St. Truiden — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Goal cancelled10′
VAR
Goal cancelled29′
VAR
Half Time
M. GigerK. Rodriguez
62′
K. Rodriguez

assist: K. Van De Perre

64′
65′
A. FerrariR. Ito
65′
R. VanwesemaelS. Jukleroed
65′
I. SebaouiK. Matsuzawa
P. DavidA. Zorgane
76′
R. SchoofsM. Rasmussen
77′
77′
A. SissakoA. Diriken
A. KhalailiL. Patris
84′
K. Rodriguez

assist: M. Rasmussen

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Union St. Gilloise had 46% possession against St. Truiden's 54%. Union St. Gilloise registered 18 shots (6 on target) while St. Truiden managed 11 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–6. Fouls committed: 7–11.

Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots Off Goal
7
3
Total Shots
18
11
Blocked Shots
5
6
Shots inside the Box
13
7
Shots outside the Box
5
4
Fouls
7
11
Corner Kicks
5
6
Offsides
3
2
Ball Possession
46%
54%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
4
Total Passes
358
420
Accurate Passes
283
332
Pass Accuracy
79%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
1.93
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.25
-0.25

Rivalry since 2021

Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden Head to Head Results· 11

Union St. Gilloise and St. Truiden have met 11 times — Union St. Gilloise won 7, St. Truiden won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Union St. Gilloise leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.45 per match (18 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2026.

Total goals
27 · 2.5/match
Both scored
7/11 · 64%
Over 2.5
7/11 · 64%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Union St. Gilloise have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. St. Truiden show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Union St. Gilloise dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (70%) — the odds may underestimate Union St. Gilloise.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

St Truiden21Union St. Gilloise
2 May 202625/263.75/3.40/1.95
Match Details
Union St. Gilloise10St Truiden
4 Apr 202625/261.70/3.50/4.50
Match Details
St Truiden13Union St. Gilloise
22 Mar 202625/263.25/3.30/2.10
Match Details
Union St. Gilloise20St Truiden
26 Oct 202525/261.36/4.94/7.77
Match Details
Union St. Gilloise21St Truiden
2 Feb 202524/251.44/4.39/6.96
Match Details
St Truiden00Union St. Gilloise
25 Aug 202424/255.92/4.25/1.48
Match Details
Union St. Gilloise21St Truiden
21 Jan 202423/241.32/5.16/8.68
Match Details
St Truiden04Union St. Gilloise
8 Oct 202323/244.04/3.77/1.83
Match Details
Union St. Gilloise21St Truiden
2 Apr 202322/231.45/4.26/7.12
Match Details
St Truiden11Union St. Gilloise
23 Jul 202222/234.15/3.41/1.90
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 73.5%Draw 20.3%Away 12.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.364.757.50
Max1.365.128.04
Over 2.5: 62.5%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Union St. Gilloise · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market69.7%18.5%11.8%
Public market68.1%19.5%12.4%
Δ1.6%1.0%0.6%

Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Union St. Gilloise
Result vs. Market: Union St. Gilloise (74%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Union St. GilloiseHalf-time:00St. Truiden
17Shots11
6Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Union St. Gilloise

W 120D 41L 24
Over 2.557
Goals scored360

Away Record: St. Truiden

W 285D 222L 385
Over 2.550
Goals scored1089

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026