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Almeria vs Villarreal

4 March 2023 at 15:15Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
02

Match Summary

Villarreal defeated Almeria 2:0. The match was played in La Liga 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Almeria vs Villarreal Head to Head Results· 11

Almeria and Villarreal have met 11 times — Almeria won 0, Villarreal won 8, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Villarreal leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.09 per match (8 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Villarreal are currently unbeaten in the last 11 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 8–0 in 2018.

0
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
34 · 3.1/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
6/11 · 55%

Recent Meetings

21/04/24La Liga
Match Details
17/09/23La Liga
Match Details
23/10/22La Liga
Match Details
05/12/18Copa del Rey
Match Details
01/11/18Copa del Rey
Match Details
15/03/15La Liga
Match Details
19/10/14La Liga
Match Details
19/01/14La Liga
Match Details
19/08/13La Liga
Match Details
11/05/11La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 80 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Almeria have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Villarreal show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Almeria

LLDWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Villarreal dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
1
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Villarreal.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Apr 202423/243.37/3.77/2.03
Match Details
17 Sept 202323/241.44/4.60/6.29
Match Details
4 Mar 202322/233.45/3.64/2.08
Match Details
23 Oct 202222/231.37/4.88/8.92
Match Details
19/10/1414/151.35/5.04/9.38
15/03/1514/154.05/3.35/2.00
19/08/1313/142.60/3.24/2.84
19/01/1413/141.33/5.08/10.12

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.0%Draw 27.5%Away 48.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.602.05
Max3.563.712.10
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Villarreal · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.3%26.2%46.5%
Public market27.2%26.4%46.4%

Almeria vs Villarreal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Villarreal
Result vs. Market: Villarreal (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlmeriaHalf-time:00Villarreal
6Shots16
0Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Almeria

W 76D 76L 152
Over 2.552
Goals scored336

Away Record: Villarreal

W 410D 245L 295
Over 2.551
Goals scored1404

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026