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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

29 March 2025 at 17:30Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee: José Munuera

Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano defeated Alaves 2:0. The match was played in La Liga 2024.

Rivalry since 2018

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results· 10

Alaves and Rayo Vallecano have met 10 times — Alaves won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 6, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Rayo Vallecano leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (10 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (20%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (20%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2018.

4
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
20 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/10 · 20%
Over 2.5
2/10 · 20%

Recent Meetings

23/05/26La Liga
Match Details
14/01/26Copa del Rey
Match Details
26/10/25La Liga
Match Details
26/10/24La Liga
Match Details
10/03/24La Liga
Match Details
15/09/23La Liga
Match Details
16/04/22La Liga
Match Details
18/12/21La Liga
Match Details
28/01/19La Liga
Match Details
22/09/18La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 15 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Alaves have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Rayo Vallecano show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

10%

Games with 3+ goals

10%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Rayo Vallecano dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
0
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26 Oct 202525/262.13/3.09/3.99
Match Details
29 Mar 202524/252.17/2.96/4.09
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/252.27/3.07/3.58
Match Details
10 Mar 202423/242.15/3.13/3.78
Match Details
15 Sept 202323/241.96/3.13/4.24
Match Details
16 Apr 202221/222.69/3.14/2.82
Match Details
18 Dec 202121/221.78/3.50/5.02
Match Details
28 Jan 201918/192.20/3.31/3.51
Match Details
22 Sept 201818/192.10/3.45/3.54
Match Details
17/10/9999/00

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.2%Draw 33.8%Away 24.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.152.904.09
Max2.183.024.10
Over 2.5: 36.4%Under 2.5: 69.4%
Market favourite:Alaves · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.3%32.0%23.6%
Public market44.1%32.7%23.1%

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rayo Vallecano
Result vs. Market: Alaves (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlavesHalf-time:01Rayo Vallecano
12Shots11
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Alaves

W 177D 135L 256
Over 2.545
Goals scored586

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026