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Osasuna vs Valencia

24 August 2025 at 16:00Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
10
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Match Summary

Osasuna defeated Valencia 1:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by A. Budimir 9′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Osasuna had 56% possession while Valencia held 44%. Osasuna had 16 shots (4 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Valencia. Expected goals: Osasuna 0.83 — Valencia 0.41. Osasuna made 4 substitutions, Valencia made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Osasuna and Valencia — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
26′
D. RabaJ. Vazquez
Half Time
V. MunozR. Garcia
62′
67′
L. RiojaM. Diakhaby
67′
J. GuerraF. Ugrinic
L. TorroJ. Herrando
78′
A. OrozR. Garcia
78′
78′
J. CopeteH. Duro
78′
PepeluB. Santamaria
M. GomezA. Osambela
84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Osasuna had 56% possession against Valencia's 44%. Osasuna registered 16 shots (4 on target) while Valencia managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 14–13.

Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots Off Goal
6
2
Total Shots
16
4
Blocked Shots
6
1
Shots inside the Box
9
1
Shots outside the Box
7
3
Fouls
14
13
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
56%
44%
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
3
Total Passes
464
370
Accurate Passes
382
296
Pass Accuracy
82%
80%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
0.41
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.34
-0.34

Rivalry since 2010

Osasuna vs Valencia Head to Head Results· 23

Osasuna and Valencia have met 23 times — Osasuna won 5, Valencia won 11, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Valencia leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (26 for the home side, 43 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Valencia are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

5
wins
Drawn
7
·
11
wins
Total goals
69 · 3.0/match
Both scored
13/23 · 57%
Over 2.5
13/23 · 57%

Recent Meetings

01/03/26La Liga
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02/03/25La Liga
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24/09/24La Liga
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15/04/24La Liga
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27/08/23La Liga
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11/03/23La Liga
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07/10/22La Liga
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16/04/22La Liga
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12/09/21La Liga
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21/04/21La Liga
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Osasuna have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Valencia show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Osasuna

LLLLLW

Valencia

WWDWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Valencia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Mar 202625/262.35/3.20/3.25
Match Details
24 Aug 202525/262.42/3.18/3.19
Match Details
2 Mar 202524/252.32/3.16/3.33
Match Details
24 Sept 202424/252.05/3.15/4.07
Match Details
15 Apr 202423/242.18/3.15/3.68
Match Details
27 Aug 202323/241.88/3.35/4.11
Match Details
11 Mar 202322/232.11/3.18/3.91
Match Details
7 Oct 202222/232.41/3.22/3.14
Match Details
16 Apr 202221/222.16/3.23/3.68
Match Details
12 Sept 202121/222.45/3.12/3.15
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.4%Draw 31.4%Away 31.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.163.10
Max2.433.203.27
Over 2.5: 42.0%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.8%30.6%29.6%
Public market39.6%29.7%30.7%
Δ0.2%0.9%1.1%

Osasuna vs Valencia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Osasuna
Result vs. Market: Osasuna (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

OsasunaHalf-time:10Valencia
16Shots4
4Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Osasuna

W 266D 240L 366
Over 2.543
Goals scored939

Away Record: Valencia

W 541D 328L 391
Over 2.550
Goals scored1843

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026