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Villarreal vs Osasuna

20 September 2025 at 17:30Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
21
Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Match Summary

Villarreal defeated Osasuna 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by A. Budimir 45′ (pen.), G. Mikautadze 69′, P. Gueye 85′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Villarreal had 66% possession while Osasuna held 34%. Villarreal had 26 shots (8 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Osasuna. Expected goals: Villarreal 2.55 — Osasuna 1.80. Villarreal made 5 substitutions, Osasuna made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Villarreal and Osasuna — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
45′
A. Budimir

Penalty

Half Time
I. AkhomachT. Buchanan
46′
46′
R. GarciaJ. Herrando
46′
J. CruzA. Osambela
P. NavarroS. Comesana
58′
T. ParteyT. Oluwaseyi
58′
A. MoleiroM. Solomon
67′
J. FoythR. Veiga
67′
G. Mikautadze

assist: M. Solomon

69′
77′
A. BudimirR. Garcia
77′
V. MunozS. Becker
P. Gueye

assist: T. Oluwaseyi

85′
88′
F. BoyomoK. Barja
Full Time

Match Statistics

Villarreal had 66% possession against Osasuna's 34%. Villarreal registered 26 shots (8 on target) while Osasuna managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 7–0. Fouls committed: 10–11.

Shots on Goal
8
3
Shots Off Goal
12
3
Total Shots
26
6
Blocked Shots
6
0
Shots inside the Box
14
6
Shots outside the Box
12
0
Fouls
10
11
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
66%
34%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
6
Total Passes
502
274
Accurate Passes
444
211
Pass Accuracy
88%
77%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
1.80
Goals Prevented (xGP)
1.40
1.40

Rivalry since 2011

Villarreal vs Osasuna Head to Head Results· 21

Villarreal and Osasuna have met 21 times — Villarreal won 11, Osasuna won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Villarreal leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 71 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.38 per match (45 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (76%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (76%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Villarreal are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

Drawn
4
·
6
wins
Total goals
71 · 3.4/match
Both scored
16/21 · 76%
Over 2.5
16/21 · 76%

Recent Meetings

31/01/26La Liga
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03/05/25La Liga
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24/11/24La Liga
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25/05/24La Liga
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26/11/23La Liga
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19/03/23La Liga
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17/10/22La Liga
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05/03/22La Liga
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17/10/21La Liga
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11/04/21La Liga
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Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Osasuna show 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Osasuna

LLLLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (62%) — the odds may underestimate Villarreal.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31 Jan 202625/262.75/3.30/2.55
Match Details
20 Sept 202525/261.56/4.36/5.69
Match Details
3 May 202524/251.54/4.36/5.87
Match Details
24 Nov 202424/252.56/3.43/2.75
Match Details
25 May 202423/242.89/3.71/2.29
Match Details
26 Nov 202323/242.16/3.50/3.30
Match Details
19 Mar 202322/233.10/3.12/2.45
Match Details
17 Oct 202222/231.57/4.16/6.04
Match Details
5 Mar 202221/223.62/3.40/2.10
Match Details
17 Oct 202121/221.68/3.84/5.27
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 64.3%Draw 22.9%Away 17.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.554.335.50
Max1.564.395.87
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Villarreal · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market61.7%21.9%16.4%
Public market61.0%21.8%17.2%

Villarreal vs Osasuna — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Villarreal
Result vs. Market: Villarreal (64%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VillarrealHalf-time:01Osasuna
26Shots6
8Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Villarreal

W 409D 245L 294
Over 2.551
Goals scored1399

Away Record: Osasuna

W 266D 240L 366
Over 2.543
Goals scored939

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026