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Real Madrid vs Barcelona

26 October 2025 at 15:15Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Referee: César Soto Grado

Match Summary

Real Madrid defeated Barcelona 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by K. Mbappe 22′, F. Lopez 38′, J. Bellingham 43′. 10 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Real Madrid had 32% possession while Barcelona held 68%. Real Madrid had 23 shots (10 on target) compared to 15 (6 on target) for Barcelona. Expected goals: Real Madrid 3.63 — Barcelona 1.03. Real Madrid made 5 substitutions, Barcelona made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Vinícius Júnior 4′), Goal cancelled (Kylian Mbappé 13′), Penalty confirmed (Jude Bellingham 50′).

Match Events

Key match events between Real Madrid and Barcelona — 3 goals and 12 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Penalty cancelled4′
VAR
Goal cancelled13′
VAR
38′
F. Lopez

assist: M. Rashford

42′Pedri
J. Bellingham

assist: Eder Militao

43′
Half Time
Penalty confirmed50′
VAR
A. GulerB. Diaz
66′
F. ValverdeD. Carvajal
72′
74′
E. GarciaR. Araujo
74′
F. TorresM. Casado
84′
P. CubarsiR. Bardghji
Rodrygo90+11′
90+10′Pedri
90+10′Pedri
J. BellinghamG. Garcia
90′
K. MbappeD. Ceballos
90+1′
90+7′
A. BaldeG. Martin
Full Time

Match Statistics

Real Madrid had 32% possession against Barcelona's 68%. Real Madrid registered 23 shots (10 on target) while Barcelona managed 15 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 12–4. Fouls committed: 12–9.

Shots on Goal
10
6
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Total Shots
23
15
Blocked Shots
7
4
Shots inside the Box
17
6
Shots outside the Box
6
9
Fouls
12
9
Corner Kicks
12
4
Offsides
5
2
Ball Possession
32%
68%
Yellow Cards
5
5
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
9
Total Passes
275
640
Accurate Passes
223
574
Pass Accuracy
81%
90%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.63
1.03
Goals Prevented (xGP)
2.34
2.34

Rivalry since 2010

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Head to Head Results· 46

Real Madrid and Barcelona have met 46 times — Real Madrid won 15, Barcelona won 25, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Barcelona leads the head-to-head with 25 victories from 46 meetings. A combined 162 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.52 per match (67 for the home side, 95 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 30 matches (65%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 36 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Barcelona are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2025.

Drawn
6
·
25
wins
Total goals
162 · 3.5/match
Both scored
30/46 · 65%
Over 2.5
36/46 · 78%

Recent Meetings

10/05/26La Liga
Match Details
11/01/26Super Cup
Match Details
11/05/25La Liga
Match Details
12/01/25Super Cup
Match Details
26/10/24La Liga
Match Details
04/08/24Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
21/04/24La Liga
Match Details
14/01/24Super Cup
Match Details
28/10/23La Liga
Match Details
29/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Barcelona show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Real Madrid.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 May 202625/261.62/5.00/4.33
Match Details
26 Oct 202525/261.96/4.25/3.31
Match Details
11 May 202524/251.93/3.95/3.35
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/252.05/4.03/3.27
Match Details
21 Apr 202423/241.85/3.92/3.91
Match Details
28 Oct 202323/242.53/3.62/2.65
Match Details
19 Mar 202322/232.18/3.52/3.27
Match Details
16 Oct 202222/232.24/3.58/3.12
Match Details
20 Mar 202221/222.15/3.64/3.28
Match Details
24 Oct 202121/222.73/3.65/2.48
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.0%Draw 23.5%Away 30.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.954.103.30
Max1.974.413.33
Over 2.5: 76.9%Under 2.5: 28.6%
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.1%21.9%29.0%
Public market48.4%23.0%28.6%
Δ0.7%1.1%0.4%

Real Madrid vs Barcelona — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Real Madrid
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real MadridHalf-time:21Barcelona
23Shots15
10Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Madrid

W 805D 238L 217
Over 2.561
Goals scored2729

Away Record: Barcelona

W 819D 240L 201
Over 2.563
Goals scored2873

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026