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Alaves vs Celta Vigo

22 November 2025 at 13:00Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
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Alaves

01
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Match Summary

Celta Vigo defeated Alaves 1:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by I. Aspas 55′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Alaves had 52% possession while Celta Vigo held 48%. Alaves had 5 shots (2 on target) compared to 7 (4 on target) for Celta Vigo. Expected goals: Alaves 0.67 — Celta Vigo 1.37. Alaves made 5 substitutions, Celta Vigo made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Alaves and Celta Vigo — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
55′
I. Aspas

Penalty

C. AlenaA. Rebbach
61′
C. VicenteP. Ibanez
62′
66′
J. RuedaO. Mingueza
73′
P. DuranB. Iglesias
73′
C. StarfeltJ. Aidoo
73′
I. AspasM. Roman
Jonny OttoA. Guevara
81′
D. SuarezM. Diaz
81′
83′
B. ZaragozaJ. El Abdellaoui
T. MartinezJ. Guridi
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Alaves had 52% possession against Celta Vigo's 48%. Alaves registered 5 shots (2 on target) while Celta Vigo managed 7 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 21–15.

Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
2
Total Shots
5
7
Blocked Shots
0
1
Shots inside the Box
4
4
Shots outside the Box
1
3
Fouls
21
15
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
4
2
Ball Possession
52%
48%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
2
Total Passes
510
499
Accurate Passes
432
413
Pass Accuracy
85%
83%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
1.37
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.16
0.16

Rivalry since 2017

Alaves vs Celta Vigo Head to Head Results· 17

Alaves and Celta Vigo have met 17 times — Alaves won 6, Celta Vigo won 8, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Celta Vigo leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (20 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2026.

6
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
48 · 2.8/match
Both scored
8/17 · 47%
Over 2.5
9/17 · 53%

Recent Meetings

22/03/26La Liga
Match Details
27/01/25La Liga
Match Details
16/08/24La Liga
Match Details
27/04/24La Liga
Match Details
28/09/23La Liga
Match Details
07/05/22La Liga
Match Details
27/11/21La Liga
Match Details
04/04/21La Liga
Match Details
20/12/20La Liga
Match Details
21/06/20La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Alaves have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Celta Vigo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Alaves

LWWDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Celta Vigo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Celta Vigo.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Mar 202625/261.83/3.30/5.00
Match Details
22 Nov 202525/262.59/3.06/2.99
Match Details
27 Jan 202524/252.65/3.12/2.89
Match Details
16 Aug 202424/252.02/3.29/4.07
Match Details
27 Apr 202423/242.68/3.10/2.82
Match Details
28 Sept 202323/241.69/3.46/5.34
Match Details
7 May 202221/221.91/3.42/4.40
Match Details
27 Nov 202121/222.96/3.13/2.57
Match Details
4 Apr 202120/213.03/3.21/2.53
Match Details
20 Dec 202020/211.72/3.94/4.89
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.6%Draw 32.7%Away 33.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.583.002.90
Max2.603.123.08
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.5%31.0%31.4%
Public market36.2%31.4%32.4%
Δ1.3%0.3%1.0%

Alaves vs Celta Vigo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Celta Vigo
Result vs. Market: Alaves (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlavesHalf-time:00Celta Vigo
5Shots7
2Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Alaves

W 177D 135L 256
Over 2.545
Goals scored586

Away Record: Celta Vigo

W 356D 280L 396
Over 2.548
Goals scored1321

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026