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Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

1 December 2025 at 20:00Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano and Valencia drew 1:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by N. Mendy 37′, D. Lopez 64′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Rayo Vallecano had 56% possession while Valencia held 44%. Rayo Vallecano had 19 shots (7 on target) compared to 10 (2 on target) for Valencia. Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano 1.57 — Valencia 0.63. Rayo Vallecano made 5 substitutions, Valencia made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
N. Mendy

assist: G. Gumbau

37′
Half Time
57′
J. GuerraA. Danjuma
F. PerezPacha
69′
U. LopezAlemao
69′
74′
H. DuroL. Beltran
74′
L. RiojaF. Ugrinic
J. de FrutosI. Balliu
83′
N. MendyLuiz Felipe
83′
Alemão90+6′
A. GarciaS. Camello
90+2′
90+2′
PepeluB. Santamaria
90+2′
D. LopezD. Raba
Full Time

Match Statistics

Rayo Vallecano had 56% possession against Valencia's 44%. Rayo Vallecano registered 19 shots (7 on target) while Valencia managed 10 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 10–5. Fouls committed: 11–9.

Shots on Goal
7
2
Shots Off Goal
9
4
Total Shots
19
10
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots inside the Box
9
6
Shots outside the Box
10
4
Fouls
11
9
Corner Kicks
10
5
Offsides
1
0
Ball Possession
56%
44%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
5
Total Passes
441
350
Accurate Passes
373
285
Pass Accuracy
85%
81%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
0.63
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.20
0.20

Rivalry since 2011

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Head to Head Results· 21

Rayo Vallecano and Valencia have met 21 times — Rayo Vallecano won 5, Valencia won 7, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Valencia leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 44 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.10 per match (17 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Rayo Vallecano are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2012.

Drawn
9
·
Total goals
44 · 2.1/match
Both scored
10/21 · 48%
Over 2.5
7/21 · 33%

Recent Meetings

14/05/26La Liga
Match Details
19/04/25La Liga
Match Details
07/12/24La Liga
Match Details
12/05/24La Liga
Match Details
19/12/23La Liga
Match Details
03/04/23La Liga
Match Details
10/09/22La Liga
Match Details
11/04/22La Liga
Match Details
27/11/21La Liga
Match Details
06/04/19La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Valencia show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.7

Average goals per game

10%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
7
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Valencia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 May 202625/262.20/3.40/3.30
Match Details
1 Dec 202525/261.96/3.41/4.17
Match Details
19 Apr 202524/252.28/3.08/3.45
Match Details
7 Dec 202424/252.25/2.92/3.81
Match Details
12 May 202423/242.24/3.07/3.54
Match Details
19 Dec 202323/242.18/3.21/3.55
Match Details
3 Apr 202322/232.10/3.18/3.84
Match Details
10 Sept 202222/232.60/3.15/2.92
Match Details
11 Apr 202221/222.24/3.28/3.40
Match Details
27 Nov 202121/222.01/3.36/3.98
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.9%Draw 29.4%Away 24.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.404.10
Max1.983.414.25
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Rayo Vallecano · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.9%28.4%22.8%
Public market48.8%28.0%23.2%

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Rayo Vallecano (51%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Rayo VallecanoHalf-time:10Valencia
19Shots10
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Away Record: Valencia

W 541D 328L 391
Over 2.550
Goals scored1843

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026