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Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano

7 December 2025 at 17:30RCDE Stadium, Cornella
Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez

Match Summary

Espanyol defeated Rayo Vallecano 1:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by R. Fernandez Jaen 39′ (pen.). 12 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Espanyol had 36% possession while Rayo Vallecano held 64%. Espanyol had 9 shots (2 on target) compared to 6 (2 on target) for Rayo Vallecano. Expected goals: Espanyol 1.33 — Rayo Vallecano 0.25. Espanyol made 4 substitutions, Rayo Vallecano made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Charles Pickel 67′), Goal cancelled (Kike García 84′).

Match Events

Key match events between Espanyol and Rayo Vallecano — 1 goal and 14 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
39′
Half Time
52′
G. GumbauS. Camello
Penalty cancelled67′
VAR
70′
J. de FrutosA. Garcia
ExpositoR. Terrats
80′
80′
Goal cancelled84′
VAR
86′
N. MendyR. Nteka
P. MillaR. Sanchez
89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Espanyol had 36% possession against Rayo Vallecano's 64%. Espanyol registered 9 shots (2 on target) while Rayo Vallecano managed 6 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 19–22.

Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots Off Goal
5
1
Total Shots
9
6
Blocked Shots
2
3
Shots inside the Box
6
2
Shots outside the Box
3
4
Fouls
19
22
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
36%
64%
Yellow Cards
4
8
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1
Total Passes
234
427
Accurate Passes
171
355
Pass Accuracy
73%
83%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
0.25
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.12
-0.12

Rivalry since 2011

Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results· 22

Espanyol and Rayo Vallecano have met 22 times — Espanyol won 10, Rayo Vallecano won 9, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Espanyol leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 65 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.95 per match (35 for the home side, 30 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (59%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2012.

10
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
65 · 3.0/match
Both scored
12/22 · 55%
Over 2.5
13/22 · 59%

Recent Meetings

23/04/26La Liga
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04/04/25La Liga
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31/08/24La Liga
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21/05/23La Liga
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19/08/22La Liga
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21/04/22La Liga
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05/12/21La Liga
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24/07/21Friendlies Clubs
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31/01/21Segunda División
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18/10/20Segunda División
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Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Espanyol have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Rayo Vallecano show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Espanyol.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

23 Apr 202625/262.10/3.25/3.75
Match Details
7 Dec 202525/262.29/3.40/3.21
Match Details
4 Apr 202524/251.67/3.57/6.06
Match Details
31 Aug 202424/252.78/3.04/2.82
Match Details
21 May 202322/232.16/3.41/3.44
Match Details
19 Aug 202222/232.50/3.05/3.17
Match Details
21 Apr 202221/222.44/3.13/3.14
Match Details
5 Dec 202121/222.15/3.17/3.79
Match Details
9 Feb 201918/191.82/3.64/4.60
Match Details
28 Sept 201818/192.78/3.32/2.63
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.7%Draw 29.4%Away 31.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.403.20
Max2.333.403.22
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Espanyol · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.5%28.4%30.0%
Public market42.3%28.0%29.7%

Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Espanyol
Result vs. Market: Espanyol (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

EspanyolHalf-time:10Rayo Vallecano
9Shots6
2Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Espanyol

W 373D 316L 457
Over 2.547
Goals scored1347

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026