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Valencia vs Sevilla

7 December 2025 at 15:15Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
11
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez

Match Summary

Valencia and Sevilla drew 1:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by C. Tarrega 58′ (o.g.), H. Duro 90′. 9 yellow cards were shown. Valencia had 48% possession while Sevilla held 52%. Valencia had 11 shots (3 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Sevilla. Expected goals: Valencia 1.19 — Sevilla 0.32. Valencia made 5 substitutions, Sevilla made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Valencia and Sevilla — 2 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
58′
C. Tarrega

Own Goal

A. DanjumaD. Lopez
63′
A. AlmeidaF. Ugrinic
63′
J. GuerraL. Beltran
63′
L. RiojaL. Ramazani
68′
J. GayaJ. Vazquez
77′
81′
PequeJoan Jordan
85′
OsoA. Gonzalez
86′
L. AgoumeA. Sanchez
H. Duro

assist: F. Ugrinic

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Valencia had 48% possession against Sevilla's 52%. Valencia registered 11 shots (3 on target) while Sevilla managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 2–2. Fouls committed: 12–18.

Shots on Goal
3
1
Shots Off Goal
5
3
Total Shots
11
4
Blocked Shots
3
0
Shots inside the Box
8
3
Shots outside the Box
3
1
Fouls
12
18
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
3
3
Ball Possession
48%
52%
Yellow Cards
3
6
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
2
Total Passes
409
446
Accurate Passes
321
345
Pass Accuracy
78%
77%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
0.32
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.12
-0.12

Rivalry since 2010

Valencia vs Sevilla Head to Head Results· 32

Valencia and Sevilla have met 32 times — Valencia won 10, Sevilla won 13, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Sevilla leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 68 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (34 for the home side, 34 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (31%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Valencia are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2013.

10
wins
Drawn
9
·
13
wins
Total goals
68 · 2.1/match
Both scored
14/32 · 44%
Over 2.5
10/32 · 31%

Recent Meetings

21/03/26La Liga
Match Details
11/04/25La Liga
Match Details
11/01/25La Liga
Match Details
17/02/24La Liga
Match Details
11/08/23La Liga
Match Details
16/04/23La Liga
Match Details
18/10/22La Liga
Match Details
19/01/22La Liga
Match Details
22/09/21La Liga
Match Details
12/05/21La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Valencia have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Sevilla show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Valencia

WWDWLW

Sevilla

LLLLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Sevilla.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Mar 202625/262.30/3.20/3.30
Match Details
7 Dec 202525/262.16/3.45/3.46
Match Details
11 Apr 202524/252.33/3.15/3.41
Match Details
11 Jan 202524/252.00/3.38/3.92
Match Details
17 Feb 202423/242.23/3.29/3.33
Match Details
11 Aug 202323/241.89/3.36/4.23
Match Details
16 Apr 202322/232.19/3.24/3.58
Match Details
18 Oct 202222/232.28/3.36/3.25
Match Details
19 Jan 202221/223.28/3.17/2.33
Match Details
22 Sept 202121/221.64/3.86/5.69
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.4%Draw 29.0%Away 28.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.403.40
Max2.163.503.51
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Valencia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.8%27.6%27.6%
Public market44.2%27.9%27.9%

Valencia vs Sevilla — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Valencia (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ValenciaHalf-time:00Sevilla
11Shots4
3Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Valencia

W 541D 328L 391
Over 2.550
Goals scored1843

Away Record: Sevilla

W 479D 281L 386
Over 2.549
Goals scored1629

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026