La Liga· Season 2025
Match Summary
Real Madrid defeated Alaves 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by K. Mbappe 24′, C. Vicente 68′, Rodrygo 76′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Alaves had 52% possession while Real Madrid held 48%. Alaves had 6 shots (2 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Real Madrid. Expected goals: Alaves 1.36 — Real Madrid 1.83. Alaves made 5 substitutions, Real Madrid made 4. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Carlos Vicente 69′).
Match Events
Key match events between Alaves and Real Madrid — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Bellingham
assist: A. Blanco
assist: Vinicius Junior
Match Statistics
Alaves had 52% possession against Real Madrid's 48%. Alaves registered 6 shots (2 on target) while Real Madrid managed 13 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 5–7. Fouls committed: 12–13.
Rivalry since 2016
Alaves vs Real Madrid Head to Head Results· 17
Alaves and Real Madrid have met 17 times — Alaves won 2, Real Madrid won 15, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 55 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.24 per match (11 for the home side, 44 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (76%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Madrid are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2024.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Alaves have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Real Madrid show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.4
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Real Madrid dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (16%) — the odds may underestimate Real Madrid.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 5.50 | 3.88 | 1.60 |
| Max | 6.00 | 4.00 | 1.63 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 16.1% | 24.8% | 59.1% |
| Public market | 17.2% | 23.7% | 59.1% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 1.2% | — |
Alaves vs Real Madrid — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Alaves
Away Record: Real Madrid
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026