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Oxford United vs Luton

2 October 2018 at 19:45Kassam Stadium, Oxford
12
Away

Luton

Referee: Salisbury Michael

Match Summary

Luton defeated Oxford United 2:1. The match was played in League One 2018.

Rivalry since 2014

Oxford United vs Luton Head to Head Results· 8

Oxford United and Luton have met 8 times — Oxford United won 2, Luton won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Luton leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.88 per match (14 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (88%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
3
wins
Total goals
31 · 3.9/match
Both scored
7/8 · 88%
Over 2.5
6/8 · 75%

Recent Meetings

21/01/25Championship
Match Details
01/10/24Championship
Match Details
04/05/19League One
Match Details
01/03/17EFL Trophy
Match Details
16/04/16League Two
Match Details
15/08/15League Two
Match Details
07/02/15League Two
Match Details
27/09/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Oxford United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Luton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 May 201918/191.42/4.56/7.84
Match Details
2 Oct 201818/193.49/3.56/2.12
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.7%Draw 28.1%Away 47.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.502.10
Max3.573.602.14
Market favourite:Luton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.2%27.1%45.7%
Public market27.7%26.9%45.3%

Oxford United vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Luton (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Oxford UnitedHalf-time:00Luton
10Shots17
3Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oxford United

W 144D 87L 126
Over 2.555
Goals scored532

Away Record: Luton

W 88D 45L 51
Over 2.554
Goals scored288

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026