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Exeter City vs Lincoln

11 March 2023 at 15:00St James Park, Exeter, Devon
21
Referee: S. Gill

Match Summary

Exeter City defeated Lincoln 2:1. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2017

Exeter City vs Lincoln Head to Head Results· 13

Exeter City and Lincoln have met 13 times — Exeter City won 3, Lincoln won 4, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 22 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.69 per match (10 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (23%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2018.

Drawn
6
·
4
wins
Total goals
22 · 1.7/match
Both scored
5/13 · 38%
Over 2.5
3/13 · 23%

Recent Meetings

10/03/26League One
Match Details
04/10/25League One
Match Details
22/03/25League One
Match Details
16/11/24League One
Match Details
17/02/24League One
Match Details
28/10/23League One
Match Details
30/07/22League One
Match Details
26/02/19League Two
Match Details
01/09/18League Two
Match Details
17/05/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Lincoln show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.3

Average goals per game

13%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
8 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Lincoln.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 Mar 202625/264.10/3.60/1.76
Match Details
4 Oct 202525/261.59/3.81/5.28
Match Details
22 Mar 202524/251.77/3.50/4.63
Match Details
16 Nov 202424/252.65/3.14/2.76
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17 Feb 202423/242.14/3.24/3.56
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28 Oct 202323/242.28/3.31/3.18
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11 Mar 202322/232.10/3.21/3.79
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30 Jul 202222/232.36/3.30/3.09
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 31.2%Away 26.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.103.70
Max2.153.303.86
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Exeter City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.0%29.9%25.1%
Public market46.3%28.8%25.0%
Δ1.3%1.2%

Exeter City vs Lincoln — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Exeter City
Result vs. Market: Exeter City (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Exeter CityHalf-time:11Lincoln
8Shots7
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Exeter City

W 100D 85L 137
Over 2.548
Goals scored371

Away Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026