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Oxford United vs Derby

11 March 2023 at 15:00The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
23
Away

Derby

Referee: M. Edwards

Match Summary

Derby defeated Oxford United 3:2. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2022

Oxford United vs Derby Head to Head Results· 7

Oxford United and Derby have met 7 times — Oxford United won 2, Derby won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Derby leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 13 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.86 per match (6 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (29%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
3
wins
Total goals
13 · 1.9/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26Championship
Match Details
18/10/25Championship
Match Details
11/02/25Championship
Match Details
22/10/24Championship
Match Details
29/12/23League One
Match Details
15/08/23League One
Match Details
30/07/22League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Oxford United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Derby show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Derby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
4 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Dec 202323/243.22/3.35/2.23
Match Details
15 Aug 202323/241.90/3.45/3.96
Match Details
11 Mar 202322/233.67/3.50/2.02
Match Details
30 Jul 202222/232.26/3.38/3.21
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 27.2%Draw 28.6%Away 49.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.402.00
Max3.723.602.05
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market26.0%26.9%47.2%
Public market26.1%26.9%47.0%

Oxford United vs Derby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Derby (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Oxford UnitedHalf-time:12Derby
13Shots8
8Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oxford United

W 144D 87L 126
Over 2.555
Goals scored532

Away Record: Derby

W 49D 21L 22
Over 2.549
Goals scored145

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026